The end of capitalism as we know it?

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  • Thread starter Thread starter Ivan Seeking
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the implications of automation and technological advancement on employment, economic structures, and social classes. Participants explore the potential for job displacement, the evolution of labor markets, and the societal consequences of these changes, including wealth distribution and the role of welfare or socialistic systems in supporting displaced workers.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express concern that automation leads to job displacement, creating a divide between a wealthy minority and a struggling majority.
  • Others argue that while jobs may be lost, new opportunities can arise, suggesting that the economy may adapt and remain strong despite changes.
  • There is a proposal for mechanisms to support those displaced by automation, such as welfare or socialistic ownership models, to ensure a stable consumer base.
  • Some participants question the validity of claims regarding job losses, citing data that indicates low unemployment and a strong economy.
  • Concerns are raised about the potential for a "final layoff stage" where job losses are not replaced, leading to economic collapse and societal unrest.
  • Discussions include the idea of shorter work hours and better work-life balance as a response to automation, rather than solely focusing on job creation.
  • There is a challenge regarding the quality of jobs available, with some suggesting that not all displaced workers will qualify for the new roles created by technological advancements.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally disagree on the extent and implications of job losses due to automation, with some asserting that the economy will adapt while others foresee significant challenges. There is no consensus on the best approach to address these issues, including the role of welfare or socialistic systems.

Contextual Notes

Participants express varying assumptions about the future of work and the economy, including the impact of automation on job availability and the effectiveness of proposed support systems for displaced workers. The discussion reflects differing interpretations of economic data and the potential for societal change.

  • #61
Adam said:
Yep, there are all sorts of ways you can justify your denial.

Yes. That's why this is called a "forum".
 
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Physics news on Phys.org
  • #62
hughes johnson said:
Yes. That's why this is called a "forum".

Quite so. But the fact that different opinions can be posted does not mean that all of them are correct. And your views of unemployment are selective, and evidence of cognitive dissonance, if not denial.
 
  • #63
selfAdjoint said:
You do know that the definition of unemployment was changed a few years ago, to make the numbers less scary. The people who weren't actively looking for jobs, who had been counted as unemployed before, were now dropped. So to compare, I've seen 5.5% unemployment under the new system equated to 7% under the old one. As for 6% being full employment, that of course is what employers like to believe, but nobody else does.
I've never heard that before. Do you have a source?
Quite so. But the fact that different opinions can be posted does not mean that all of them are correct. And your views of unemployment are selective, and evidence of cognitive dissonance, if not denial.
Speaking of selective - Adam's one year data from three years ago is about the very definition of selctive. I don't think its denial though...
 
  • #64
Dissident Dan said:
That link does not adjust for inflation.
Scroll further: there are two charts, the first in "real" dollars, the second in inflation adjusted dollars.
 
  • #66
selfAdjoint said:
...your views of unemployment are selective, and evidence of cognitive dissonance, if not denial.
My views have no effect on the situation. I am unable to find help. There is a labor shortage. Is this somehow difficult for you to understand? What is it that you don't get? Are the numbers confusing to you? Do you know what a labor shortage is? Do you have some agenda that is clouding your perception of the facts? Do you know what supply and demand means? I can't imagine why you are having such difficulty with this. Is there something that I can do to help you understand better?
 
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  • #67
Hah, you are unable to find help and I am unable to find a job! Maybe we should get together, except I wouldn't want to work for you and you wouldn't hire me on a bet.
 
  • #68
russ_watters said:
Scroll further: there are two charts, the first in "real" dollars, the second in inflation adjusted dollars.

Oops. Thanks for the correction. It shows a downturn from 2000-2001. Of course, I can't say what the causes are.

I hope this thread doesn't turn into a thread about the president's handling of the economy.

I'm very interested in the idea of getting automation to the point at which people have to very little work.
 
  • #69
Dissident Dan said:
Oops. Thanks for the correction. It shows a downturn from 2000-2001. Of course, I can't say what the causes are.
Yes, there was a recession at about that time, a corresponding rise in unemployment and therefore a corresponding drop in income levels. Generally, every recession has such a drop (or at least a leveling off).

The difference in the 2000-2001 recession was 9/11 hitting just as the recovery was starting . That ended up severely slowing the recovery and led to the "jobless recovery" we hear so much about. But that's over now: unemployment was 5.6% in April, the 8th straigh month it decreased.
 
  • #70
hughes johnson: You may have mentioned it earlier, and if I've missed it my apologies. But what kind of business are you in, I'm just curious?
 

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