Score the Election: Current Standings and Predictions

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the current standings and predictions for the upcoming election, highlighting the importance of tracking polls through resources like Electoral Vote and Election Projection. The participants agree that the election is likely to hinge on key states such as Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Florida, with predictions suggesting a close race between Kerry and Bush. The unpredictability of states like Colorado, now viewed as a toss-up, underscores the dynamic nature of electoral politics as Election Day approaches.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of electoral polling methodologies
  • Familiarity with key battleground states in U.S. elections
  • Knowledge of the political landscape and candidate positions
  • Awareness of the impact of state-level voting trends
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the latest polling data from Electoral Vote and Election Projection
  • Analyze the voting history and demographics of key battleground states
  • Examine the electoral strategies of candidates Kerry and Bush
  • Explore the implications of swing states on election outcomes
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Political analysts, campaign strategists, and anyone interested in understanding the dynamics of U.S. elections and the significance of polling data.

BobG
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No competition is really complete without a good scoreboard. Here's a couple of links tallying the current standings based on recent polls.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

http://www.electionprojection.com/


If you don't like the standings in one, just try the other. They almost never agree.

If you don't like either, try it tomorrow. The standings are sure to swing wildly.

For my 2 cents worth: Kerry 270 to 268 - If he wins Iowa, Wisconsin and Minnesota. Florida is the only state Kerry can take from Bush in the event he loses one or more of the above states.

Could Colorado really be a toss-up state? There's a couple of districts that have gone heavily Democratic, but the idea the election might wind up being a toss-up is still hard to take seriously.

Edit: This should have gone in Politics and World Affairs. I must have backed out too far before posting.
 
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First of all, thank you for sharing these links and your predictions for the election. I agree that having a scoreboard or keeping track of the current standings is an important aspect of any competition, including the election. It allows us to see where the candidates stand and how they are doing in different states.

It is interesting to see that these two links often have different standings, which shows that polls can vary and are not always accurate predictors. As you mentioned, the standings are likely to swing wildly as we get closer to the election, making it difficult to make concrete predictions.

I also agree with your prediction that Florida will be a crucial state for Kerry, and that the election could come down to a few key states. It is also interesting to see that Colorado, which has traditionally been a Republican state, is now considered a toss-up. This just goes to show how unpredictable this election can be.

Overall, it will be interesting to see how the standings and predictions change as we get closer to Election Day. Thank you again for sharing your insights and for reminding us to keep an eye on the scoreboard.
 

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