Undetermined future, certain past?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the relationship between the certainty of the past and the uncertainty of the future, particularly in the context of observation and measurement. Participants explore philosophical and physical implications of these concepts, questioning whether the past can be considered certain when it is observed and how this relates to the undetermined nature of the future.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Philosophical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants assert that the future is undetermined and the past is certain, with examples such as observing distant stars as evidence of past events.
  • Others argue that the past is just as uncertain as the future, suggesting that without specific information or records, knowledge of past events remains unclear.
  • A participant proposes that while we can observe past quantum events, the global curvature of spacetime complicates our ability to fully record all past interactions.
  • Another participant challenges the notion of observing the past with instruments like telescopes, stating that such observations are limited by the time it takes for light to reach us.
  • One contribution discusses the inherent uncertainties in measurements and posits that if the laws of physics remain constant, uncertainty in predicting the future is inevitable, which implies that certainty about the past is also unattainable.
  • A later reply critiques the thread for lacking sufficient philosophical rigor, suggesting that key terms and assumptions should be clearly defined and justified.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the certainty of the past versus the uncertainty of the future, with no consensus reached. Some maintain that the past can be observed and is certain, while others contend that it is equally uncertain.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight limitations in defining key terms and assumptions, as well as the challenges in establishing a clear understanding of the philosophical implications of the discussion.

Loren Booda
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If the future is undetermined (unobserved), would the past be certain (observable)?
 
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Loren Booda said:
If the future is undetermined (unobserved), would the past be certain (observable)?

isnt it that the future is undetermined (unobserved), and the past is certain (observed).

Also, The past is observable in some cases as watching stars in the sky, as the images we get are often very, very old.
 
I am going to say no. The past is just as uncertain as the future is. Unless you have some information about the past, you really do not have a clear knowledge of events. You can extrapolate and infer on events, but you can't fully know them (unless you have some form of a record, and even this would be imprecise).

As you have it written, what instrument would you use to 'observe' the past?
 
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We have the ability and inevitability to observe ("observable") whatever past quantum-photonic events impinge on us, even though the Minkowski light cone seems to imply (for flat space at least) that we are causally connected to all lightlike events, past and future. Perhaps the crux of relativity's dispute with quantum mechanics is the global curvature of spacetime (the inability to record all past) and the process of recording interactions (such as wavefunction collapse temporal asymmetry) at present.

Observe the past? With a telescope or other radiation detector. Maybe, some day, interdimensionally with branes.
 
Observe the past? With a telescope or other radiation detector.

Well, not quite. A telescope will only show you as far as the light takes to reach you. I'd hardly consider that 'looking into the past' in a meaningful sense.

For example, how are you going to 'detect' something in the past that is further back than the time it takes for the light to reach your eyes? Unless you can look back at any arbitrary point in the past, you don't know everything about the past, do you?

If we could know the past, the question of how the universe was created would be answered.
 
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Hmm, here is something I just thought up. I don’t know if it’s worth a hoot, but Ill just chuck it out there.

Right now, I know the laws of physics apply. There is going to be uncertainty in my measurements and I cannot get rid of these uncertainties.

In the future, I know these exact same laws "MUST" apply. If not, it means that at some point I should suddenly see the laws of physics change (because eventually I will be at that point in the future where uncertainty is now gone).

This means there should be uncertainty in predicting the future.

Similarly, I know that everything that happened in the past was based on what was at the time my present.

So to infer that looking into the past will eliminate uncertainty is to infer that uncertainty did not exist at some point that was my present.

But we know this has never been true at any point in time we considered "present". So it seems to defy physics to know even the past with certainty.


Of course, none of what I said would apply if, somehow, looking into the past 'bypasses' unceratainty altogether. Though, that's a mighty big assumption.
 
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Philosophy Forum Guidelines said:
In general, one should attempt to flesh out questions and arguments in the philosophy forums adequately enough that readers will have a good understanding of the problem, the backdrop against which it resides, and the justification of one's perspective. This might include

* explicitly defining key terms;
* justifying why this is a valid issue or problem in the first place;
* explicitly stating starting premises or assumptions;
* providing logical or empirical support for such premises or assumptions;
* making subtle logical steps more explicit;
* summarizing previous arguments made on the topic and explaining how they are relevant to your argument;
* etc.
Sorry, but this thread isn't even touching upon any of these requirements for a philosophy topic.
 

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