Unpredictable inflation and borrowing money

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SUMMARY

Borrowing money during high inflation periods is advantageous as inflation erodes debt value, while deflation increases the burden of debt. The discussion highlights that banks typically respond to anticipated inflation by raising interest rates, which can lead to reduced lending. The impact of real interest rates (bank rates minus inflation) is crucial; low or negative real interest rates encourage spending, whereas high rates favor saving. Personal circumstances significantly influence these financial strategies.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of inflation and deflation dynamics
  • Knowledge of real interest rates and their calculation
  • Familiarity with inflation-indexed bonds
  • Basic principles of personal finance and borrowing
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the implications of inflation-indexed bonds in investment strategies
  • Learn about the effects of real interest rates on personal finance decisions
  • Explore the relationship between inflation expectations and bank lending practices
  • Investigate strategies for managing debt during varying economic conditions
USEFUL FOR

Individuals interested in personal finance, investors considering borrowing strategies, and anyone seeking to understand the impact of inflation and deflation on economic decisions.

rootX
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Is it true that we should borrow money during high inflation periods and lend during deflation periods?
 
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Yes (assuming the interest rates don't keep up.)

Inflation effectively destroys debt - that's why the rich and banks object to it so much.
My parents bought a house in the early 70s for what would now be a months salary.
 
well, that is an oversimplification, but essentially true. inflation does erode debt, but deflation increases the burden of debt, because you would owe more in terms of purchasing power.
 
How true? I know that US government has inflation-indexed bonds but are loans interest also work like that?

Does that also mean if banks sense that inflation is coming, they would stop lending money? Or, they will just raise the interest rates?
 
rootX said:
How true? I know that US government has inflation-indexed bonds but are loans interest also work like that?

Does that also mean if banks sense that inflation is coming, they would stop lending money? Or, they will just raise the interest rates?

They would raise the rates. This would indirectly cause them to lend less.
 
rootX said:
Is it true that we should borrow money during high inflation periods and lend during deflation periods?



It all depends on your personal circumstances really.
If the real interest rate is low (bank rates - inflation) or negative you may as well spend.
If it is high saving looks a good option.
A lot depends on what you want to buy and what future prices are likely to be.
 

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