Usefulness of predicting species population

  • Thread starter Joppy
  • Start date
  • Tags
    population
In summary, the article discusses how we can use statistical methods to provide estimates of species population given little information about the actual population and other factors that make up the ecosystem. This is all fine, and i understand the importance of obtaining information about a system given limited information on initial conditions etc. What I'm not sure i understand is the importance or significance of obtaining an estimate of a population of species, in general. The article talks briefly about how knowledge of this information would allow us to know how much wildlife would be eradicated in deforestation. and also about preserving said wildlife. Which i suppose is pretty significant in and of itself. Maybe since it is not my background i am failing to see that this is indeed very important. But
  • #1
Joppy
MHB
284
22
I recently read this article. It discusses how we can use statistical methods to provide estimates of species population given little information about the actual population and other factors that make up the ecosystem. This is all fine, and i understand the importance of obtaining information about a system given limited information on initial conditions etc.

What I'm not sure i understand is the importance or significance of obtaining an estimate of a population of species, in general. The article talks briefly about how knowledge of this information would allow us to know how much wildlife would be eradicated in deforestation. and also about preserving said wildlife. Which i suppose is pretty significant in and of itself. Maybe since it is not my background i am failing to see that this is indeed very important. But for what it's worth, is there anything else?
 
Biology news on Phys.org
  • #2
About 100 years ago we started losing large mammal species in Africa. Many of the larger animals in Preserves and Parks are the only extant animals of the species. Nothing was done until there were literally just small groups of them. Mountain gorillas in Uganda are an example. Humans often think of animals as resources that are essentially infinite. And act accordingly. Have you heard of so-called factory ships?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Factory_ship

They are ultra efficient at catching fish. Read the section on overfishing and population collapse. This is the assumption 'resources are infinite' problem.

When populations are on the brink of a crash is the best time to kick into high gear to keep the species going. Why? Because there are often ripple effects of population crashes. Deer in the US are a huge problem in suburban areas. Which is a direct result of the removal of all predators. And environmental change - housing development encroaching on forested land. A deer explosion. Raccoons are in the same category.

So keeping projections of populations can work in our favor in both directions - limiting both crashes and explosions. Simply because we know both going to have "blowback", unintended consequences.
 
  • Like
Likes fresh_42 and Joppy
  • #3
The article is about the number of species in an ecosystem.
They are talking about rather large areas (like the Ghats or Amazon), which to me seem like more than one ecosystem, but I'm not a ecologist.
At first I though you were talking about the number of individuals in a species's population which has deals with different questions, but its the number of species.

To an ecologist, I would guess, this is interesting because its a major question ecologists would like to be able to predict (described in the article).

The numbers of species in species rich areas (like the Ghats and Amazon) contribute significantly to the Earth's overall number of species.
It has been said that the Earth is now in the arthropocene (humans leaving long term markers in the geological record) and that the Earth is now losing species at a great rate.
Loss of species numbers is thought to be limiting to ecological robustness and future evolution of new species (it takes species to make new species).

There are probably other ways this is significant.
 
  • Like
Likes Joppy

1. What is the purpose of predicting species population?

There are several reasons why predicting species population is important. It helps us understand the current status and trends of a particular species, which is crucial for conservation efforts. It also allows us to identify potential threats and take proactive measures to mitigate them. Additionally, predicting species population can inform resource management and sustainable development decisions.

2. How is species population predicted?

Species population can be predicted through various methods, such as statistical modeling, population surveys, and ecological niche modeling. These methods use data on factors like habitat, food availability, and reproductive rates to estimate population size and trends. New technologies, such as remote sensing and DNA analysis, are also being utilized to improve the accuracy of predictions.

3. What are the limitations of predicting species population?

Predicting species population is a complex and challenging task, and there are several limitations to consider. One limitation is the availability and quality of data, as some species may have limited or incomplete data, making accurate predictions difficult. Other factors, such as changing environmental conditions and natural fluctuations in population size, can also affect the accuracy of predictions.

4. How can predicting species population benefit conservation efforts?

By accurately predicting species population, we can better understand which species are at risk and prioritize conservation efforts accordingly. This can also aid in identifying key areas and habitats that require protection and restoration. Predictions can also inform the development of management and recovery plans for endangered species.

5. Are there any ethical considerations when predicting species population?

Yes, there are ethical considerations to keep in mind when predicting species population. It is essential to ensure that the methods used do not harm the species or their habitats. It is also crucial to consider the potential consequences of the predictions, such as how they may impact the species or their ecosystems. Additionally, ethical considerations should be taken into account when using predictions to make management or conservation decisions.

Similar threads

Replies
2
Views
840
  • Biology and Medical
Replies
1
Views
838
Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
7
Views
1K
Replies
12
Views
2K
  • Biology and Medical
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
Replies
23
Views
2K
  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
Replies
7
Views
1K
  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
Replies
30
Views
2K
  • Biology and Medical
Replies
5
Views
2K
Back
Top