Understanding the True Equality for Var[X+Y] in Random Variables

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SUMMARY

The correct formula for the variance of the sum of two random variables X and Y is Var[X + Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y] + 2Cov[X,Y], where Cov[X,Y] is defined as E[XY] - E[X]E[Y]. The discussion reveals a misunderstanding from the professor, who incorrectly stated the formula as Var[X + Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y] - 2Cov[X,Y]. The confusion arises particularly in cases where the covariance is negative, which intuitively suggests a lower variance for the sum. Ultimately, the professor acknowledged his error regarding the sign in the covariance term.

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jetoso
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My simulation professor says the following equality is true:
Let X and Y be two random variables, then
Var[X + Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y] - 2Cov[X,Y], where Cov[X,Y] = E[XY]-E[X]E[Y].

I solved this equality and I am still having the following result:
Var[X+Y] = Var[X]+Var[Y]+2Cov[X,Y].

I sent my work to my professor, but he says my work is not correct. Could somebody tell me why? I mean, for which case it is not true?

Var[X+Y] = E[((X+Y) - (E[X]+E[Y]))^2], since Var[Z] = E[(Z-E[Z])^2] is the definition of the variance for a random variable Z.
 
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You're right and the professor is wrong, unless he meant Var[X-Y].
 
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mathman said:
You're right and the professor is wrong, unless he meant Var[X-Y].

Thanks, but I am afraid that my professor clearly stated Var[X+Y], otherwise we would have the minus sign for Cov[X,Y].
 
My simulation professor says the following equality is true:
Let X and Y be two random variables, then
Var[X + Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y] - 2Cov[X,Y], where Cov[X,Y] = E[XY]-E[X]E[Y].

I solved this equality and I am still having the following result:
Var[X+Y] = Var[X]+Var[Y]+2Cov[X,Y].

I sent my work to my professor, but he says my work is not correct. Could somebody tell me why? I mean, for which case it is not true?

Intuitively, a negative covariance between the two variables seems like it would result in a sum with less variance than if the variables were independent (zero covariance). Because the variables are "moving in different directions" it is more challenging for the observations of the sum to stray from the combined mean (i.e. less total variance with negative covariance), which agrees with your solution. If you're wrong, then I am stumped also.

This reminds me of portfolio optimization from Investments class, but unfortunately my notes are at work.
 
Last edited:
A simple example is X=Y. Var(X+Y)=Var(2X)=4Var(X). The professor's answers would end up as Var(X+Y)=0, since Cov(X,Y)=Var(X) in this case.
 
At the end of the day, our professor found his error, just because a sign. Thank you all.
 

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