Ivan Seeking said:
Well, I see this as nitpicking since it was the point of the study to determine the truth about what people believe.
To replace the word
claim with the word
testimony creates the false impression the belief is very deep and certain: strong enough to "testify" about. To merely "claim" you
believe you've had a psychic experience is indication of a much more casual thing. If someone asked me if I'd ever had a psychic experience, I could easily say I
think I probably have. I would
never, however, present them to anyone on the level of
testimony that psychic phenomena exist.
You can't jump from "claim" to "testimony" in describing the results of this poll without falsly coloring the implied depth of the belief from the original statement of it. To switch from saying 200 million peope have "claimed" they had a psychic experience, to characterizing them as having "testified" to it, is an obvious overstatement of what the polls imply, intended to make the skeptics look more foolish for having dismissed what
all these people have "testified" to. The original statement about the number of people who believe it contains no such information about the depth or casualness of their belief.
Strictly speaking, no doubt about it, the number of claims does not increase the chances that the beliefs are true, however it establishes as fact the most people believe that it's true.
Yes.
So one implication is that in fact psychic events are common.
No. You've made a big jump here. The only reasonable conclusion to draw is that
what are assumed to be psychic events are common.
And no one is in position to say that everyone is wrong here, so the demand on science is of a social and not statistical nature. Science has a responsiblity to listen. There may not be much to be done, but denial based on personal bias is certainly not an option.
I agree with this, but not with the implication that there's all this denial based on personal bias going around. So many things reported to be psychic experiences have been proven to be hoaxes, scams, and misperceptions of coincidence that it is irresponsible not to encourage people to think more critically, and look first for ordinary explanations. The corner
Psychic And Spritual Advisor and
Tarot Card Reader and
Palm Reader continue to scam gullible people all the time.
That is another issue all together. I agree completely that the scam artists are well targeted by the debunkers, but 2/3 of the country are not scam artists, yet the skeptics almost always fail to make this distinction. we are not talking about Cleo here, we are talking about your family, friends, and neighbors.
Who got all their priming from the scam artists, and popular culture: movies like
Ghost, and the works of Stephen King, and TV mediums who make a good living at it, and so on. It's very persuasive to see one of these guys put a middle aged woman into tears by telling her her dead son is standing by her side right now and wants her to know he forgives her for everything, and she only needs to forgive herself. That's some fantastic and powerful theater! And it's no wonder my friends, family, and neighbors are moved to belief. No, all these people aren't scam artists, they are the victims of the scam artists: After watching John Edwards everyday for a year, Aunt Judy decides her vase was moved by the spirit of Uncle Joe trying to make contact with her, and Cousin Edith "realizes" that the hangup call she got the day her Dad died was an "alert" from the other side. And so, when polled as to whether they've ever had a psychic experience, of course they say "Yes."
edit: These beliefs have been around a lot longer than Cleo.
Yes, I mentioned that the scams have been around since anient times: witness the ambiguous riddle-prophecies of the Greek and Roman
Oracles.