Who has profited from this latest recession?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on identifying who has profited during the latest recession, exploring various sectors and companies that may have benefited. Participants examine the concept of profit in relation to real value and the implications of consumer behavior during economic downturns.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that certain American banks have profited during the recession.
  • Manufacturers and retailers of inferior goods are mentioned as generally profiting, though some express skepticism about the extent of these profits.
  • McDonald's is cited multiple times as having posted significant profits, with one participant referencing a reported 80% profit increase.
  • Autozone is mentioned as another company that may have profited during this period.
  • Netflix is also noted as a potential beneficiary of the recession.
  • Some participants argue that the definition of "profit" needs clarification, as many companies may have lower-than-expected profits despite remaining profitable.
  • Walmart is mentioned as a retailer that may have gained from changing consumer habits during the recession.
  • Participants discuss the behavior of consumers, suggesting that some may opt for fast food over more expensive dining options, while others question this assumption.
  • One participant humorously claims personal profit in relation to their wealth compared to Bill Gates.
  • Another point raised is that individuals who have maintained steady incomes may effectively be profiting due to a negative change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
  • Concerns are expressed about the accuracy of profit measurements, with suggestions to look at "same store sales" for a clearer picture.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on who has profited from the recession, with no clear consensus on the extent or nature of these profits. There are competing perspectives on the definitions of profit and consumer behavior, indicating an unresolved discussion.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight the need for clearer definitions of profit and real value, as well as the complexities involved in measuring the impact of the recession on different sectors. Some assumptions about consumer behavior and profit calculations remain unexamined.

Who May Find This Useful

Individuals interested in economic trends, consumer behavior during recessions, and the financial performance of specific companies may find this discussion relevant.

Loren Booda
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Has anyone actually profited, in terms of real value, from this latest recession?
 
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Some (American) Banks.

But you need to define what is real value. Profit and the real output are not same anyway - profit is just making money.
 
Of course, many people profit from recessions. I believe McDonalds posted record profits last quarter or couple quarters back.
 
I believe Autozone has profited from it.
 
CRGreathouse said:
Generally, manufacturers and retailers of inferior goods.
Very insightful! I agree on an intuitive level, but would like to see something more solid to support it.
 
CRGreathouse said:
Generally, manufacturers and retailers of inferior goods.

1) This isn't depression yet
2) Americans have high living standards in general relative to people who consume the inferior goods on regular basis

So, I don't think those people are making big profits.
 
rootX said:
1) This isn't depression yet
2) Americans have high living standards in general relative to people who consume the inferior goods on regular basis

It doesn't have to be a depression and inferior goods don't mean goods that you sell in a 3rd world country.
 
  • #10
Pengwuino said:
Ahem, McDonalds :smile:

http://article.wn.com/view/2009/01/26/McDonalds_posts_sizzling_80_per_cent_profit_rise_in_2008/

Not a record as I thought but it was a huge gain.

That is pretty amazing. though the gain in alcohol sales isn't nearly as large it has had a continued growth over several years despite the economic troubles

2007 was yet another record year for US exports, primarily American Whiskeys, according to DISCUS preliminary estimates: Exports grew approximately 15% in volume in 2007 compared with 2006, hitting a record $1.01 billion.

http://www.marketingcharts.com/tele...nsecutive-year-exports-at-record-levels-3317/

note that this (edit - includes only) internationsal sales.
 
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  • #11
Netflix
 
  • #12
Authors of books on how to profit from the recession.
 
  • #13
I think you need to determine what "profit" means. Lots of companies managed to still be profitable - but profits were lower than expected. What it sounds like you mean is a much harder number to calculate: who made more (or lost less) because of the recession than they would have otherwise.
 
  • #14
walmart
 
  • #15
People who are buying houses/apartments with the intent to resell them later.
 
  • #16
"US fast-food giant McDonald's says its 2008 net profit soared 80 per cent from a year, lifted by growing demand from consumers seeking low-cost meals in a deepening global recession"

Not sure I understand this. I can see people buying jeans at Walmart rather than Gap in a recession. But people aren't switching from expensive restaurants to McDs, surely to save money you cook food rather than buy burgers ?
 
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  • #17
Politicians. The general public is so unbelievable stupid that they'll believe anything a suit and tie will tell them. Even if its, "The gov't printing (counterfeiting) and borrowing more money and giving it to incompetent fat cats is the NOBLEST thing we can do for the poor working class". Rather, its the best thing for politicians because it gives them more power. Just like nationalized health care gives them more power.
 
  • #18
Vanadium 50 said:
What it sounds like you mean is a much harder number to calculate: who made more (or lost less) because of the recession than they would have otherwise.
Well put, thank you. That was indeed my general objective.
 
  • #19
Me. I was $44 billion behind Bill Gates before. Now I'm only $42 billion behind.
 
  • #20
mgb_phys said:
"US fast-food giant McDonald's says its 2008 net profit soared 80 per cent from a year, lifted by growing demand from consumers seeking low-cost meals in a deepening global recession"

I'm not so sure I buy that, as 4Q08 had relatively poor performance. It was 2Q08 and 3Q08 where sales were high.

Also, these are bottom-line earnings, which isn't always a very accurate measurement - things like taxes and one time charges can distort it. If you really are interested in fishing through the financial reports to figure out the effect, I'd look for something called "same store sales".
 
  • #22
Anyone who hasn't lost their job or had a pay cut. With a negative change in the CPI, anyone with a steady income is essentially getting a raise.

(Or at least, I don't feel so bad about our company deciding to forego raises this year if I keep telling myself that)
 
  • #23
mgb_phys said:
Not sure I understand this. I can see people buying jeans at Walmart rather than Gap in a recession. But people aren't switching from expensive restaurants to McDs, surely to save money you cook food rather than buy burgers ?

in my opinion, if you're lazy enough to go out and plop down 60 bucks for a dinner at a restaurant for your family, you're probably too lazy to go cook the food yourself. I think a growing number of people don't find restaurants a luxury anymore, instead it's simply an alternative.
 

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