Who Will Win the Academy Awards? Post Your Guesses!

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around predictions for the Academy Awards, focusing on various nominees across categories such as Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress. Participants share their guesses and preferences for potential winners, as well as their opinions on the nominated films and performances.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants predict "Crash" will win Best Picture, while others express strong disagreement, citing its sensationalism and narrow portrayal of race relations.
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman is frequently mentioned as a favorite for Best Actor, with several participants expressing admiration for his performance in "Capote."
  • Reese Witherspoon is suggested by some for Best Actress, but at least one participant disagrees with this choice.
  • Michelle Williams is proposed for Best Supporting Actress, and Ang Lee is mentioned as a contender for directing.
  • One participant expresses hope for "The Constant Gardener" to win awards, particularly for adapted screenplay, while another participant shares a less favorable opinion of the film.
  • There is a belief among some that "March of the Penguins" will win Best Documentary, with one participant affirming its quality based on their viewing experience.
  • A participant lists their personal voting preferences across multiple categories, indicating a distinction between personal choices and predictions.
  • Concerns are raised about Rachel Weisz's nomination for supporting actress, with critiques of her role's depth and complexity.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of opinions, with notable disagreements on certain nominees and predictions, particularly regarding "Crash" and Reese Witherspoon. There is no consensus on the winners, as many participants share differing views and preferences.

Contextual Notes

Some participants acknowledge not having seen all the nominated films, which may influence their opinions and predictions.

arildno
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Who wins? Who loses?
Post your guesses! :smile:
Here's a list of the nominees:
http://www.oscar.com/nominees/list.html
 
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Crash- best picture
Reese Witherspoon- Best Actress
Philip Seymore Hoffman- Best Actor
Matt Dillon- Best supporting actor
 
Michelle Williams-actress in supporting role
Ang Lee-directing
 
Ang Lee directing

Philip Seymore Hoffman for actor in a leading role.

Nope to Reese Witherspoon... :)

I can't speak about the others since i have not seen all the pictures/performances that were nominated.

marlon
 
I really hope that "The Constant Gardener" gets a prize or two, say for adapted screenplay.
 
As for documentaries, although I haven't seen it, I believe that "March of the Penguins" will get the award.
 
arildno said:
As for documentaries, although I haven't seen it, I believe that "March of the Penguins" will get the award.
I have seen that documentary and i assure you it is great. I also think it will win the oscar.

i saw the constant gardener too but i did not really like it.

marlon
 
I'm not guessing what will win, but what I would vote for.

Actor in a leading role: Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote

Actor in a supporting role: George Clooney in Syriana

Actress in a leading role: Charlize Theron in North Country

Actress in a supporting role: Catherine Keener in Capote

Animated Feature: Tim Burton's Corpse Bride

Art Direction: King Kong

Cinematography: Good Night, and Good Luck

Costume Design: Memoirs of a Geisha

Directing: Brokeback Mountain

Documentary Feature: Murderball

Film Editing: Cinderella Man

Makeup: Revenge of the Sith

Score: Brokeback Mountain

Best Picture: Capote

Sound Editing: War of the Worlds

Sound Mixing: War of the Worlds

Visual Effects: King Kong

Adapted Screeplay: Capote

Original Screenplay: The Squid and the Whale
 
Well, they agreed with me on six of the awards. The only real complaints are Rachel Weisz for supporting actress (very small part, very one-dimensional, good enough but unchallenging role) and Crash for best picture and screenplay, especially the screenplay win. I thought the movie was terribly sensationalistic and gave a very narrow view of race relations in Los Angeles, like a series of news bites. I prefer depth to breadth, and real plot structure to cheap literary devices. Sorry to anyone that liked that film, but I was very unimpressed with it. I don't generally like pontificational movies that try to tell you what to think. I will say this for it: it was full of terrific scenes, and did have some good performances from the ensemble, especially Terence Howard and Michael Pena.

Oh well. The only award I really cared about was best actor. Philip Seymour Hoffman has been one of my favorite actors for a long time now and I'm glad to see him getting some recognition. I was thrilled when I first saw the Capote trailer to see that he had finally gotten a leading role. Not surprisingly, he nailed it.
 

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