Why is the Uncertainty of Counting Phenomena Equal to the Square Root of N?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Mk
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Uncertainty
Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the concept that the uncertainty of counting phenomena is equal to the square root of N, where N represents the number of observed events. This principle is exemplified through measurements of radioactive decays, where the absolute uncertainty is expressed as ±√N. For instance, measuring 50 decays results in a reported value of 50±7 decays per second, illustrating the application of this statistical rule. The underlying distribution for such measurements is identified as a Poisson distribution, which is crucial for understanding the behavior of random events.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Poisson distribution
  • Basic knowledge of standard deviation
  • Familiarity with statistical measurement concepts
  • Knowledge of radioactive decay processes
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties of Poisson distribution in detail
  • Learn about statistical error analysis and its applications
  • Explore the implications of standard deviation in experimental physics
  • Investigate the relationship between counting statistics and uncertainty in measurements
USEFUL FOR

Students of physics, statisticians, researchers in experimental science, and anyone interested in the quantitative analysis of random phenomena.

Mk
Messages
2,039
Reaction score
4
My physics teacher told me once about Arthur Eddington's famous observation that the ratio of scaling factors of the electromagnetic and gravitational forces was the same order as the uncertainty of N where N is the number of particles in the universe. From then on, I wondered what "uncertainty" could possibly mean. He couldn't really explain it to me, or I didn't understand it (or both).

For inherently random phenomena that involve counting individual events or occurrences, we measure only a single number N. This kind of measurement is relevant to counting the number of radioactive decays in a specific time interval from a sample of material. It is also relevant to counting the number of Lutherans in a random sample of the population. The (absolute) uncertainty of such a single measurement, N, is estimated as the square root of N. As example, if we measure 50 radioactive decays in 1 second we should present the result as 50±7 decays per second. (The quoted uncertainty indicates that a subsequent measurement performed identically could easily result in numbers dif- fering by 7 from 50.)

I can see that for "random" or acausal (stochastic) phenomena, the "absolute" uncertainty in a measurement is equal to the square root of that quantity of measurements. What is that about? I think I understand square roots and squaring just fine, and am looking for a little help in explanation.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
In example of radioactive decay, you can calculate the probability for each number of decays within one second, it follows a poisson distribution. And you can evaluate the standard deviation - it is sqrt(N).

Many phenomena which involve counting have an uncertainty of sqrt(N).
 
If there are an infinite number of natural numbers, and an infinite number of fractions in between any two natural numbers, and an infinite number of fractions in between any two of those fractions, and an infinite number of fractions in between any two of those fractions, and an infinite number of fractions in between any two of those fractions, and... then that must mean that there are not only infinite infinities, but an infinite number of those infinities. and an infinite number of those...

Similar threads

  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
4K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
9K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
21K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
  • · Replies 0 ·
Replies
0
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
12K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K