MHB Answer Radium & Town Population: 200yrs, 800k

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Radium decomposes at a rate proportional to its current amount, with 100 mg reducing to 96 mg over 100 years, indicating a decay of 4 mg. After 200 years, calculations show approximately 92.16 mg of radium remains, correcting earlier estimates. For the town's population, which doubled from 300,000 in 25 years, projections indicate it will reach 800,000 in about 35.38 years. Adjustments for significant figures and rounding are discussed, emphasizing the importance of precision in calculations. The final conclusions provide accurate estimates for both the radium decay and population growth scenarios.
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1. Radium decomposes at a rate proportional to the amount at any instant. In 100 years, 100mg of radium decomposes to 96mg. How many mg will be left after 200 years?

2. if a population of a town doubled in the past 25 years and the present population is 300,000 when will the town have a population of 800,000?prob 1.

since 3mg of 100mg radium have decomposed over a period of 100 years this amount is 3% of the original amount.$\frac{R_0-0.03R_0}{R_0}=\frac{R_0\,e^{k100}}{R_0}$

$\ln(1-0.03)=\ln(e^{k100})$

$\ln(1-0.03)=100k$

$k=\frac{\ln(1-0.03)}{100}$

when t=200

$R(200)=R_0\,e^{\ln(1-0.03)^2}$

$R(200)=100(0.9409)$

$R=94.09mg$ is this correct?

prob 2

$\frac{dP}{dt}=kP$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{kt}$

when t=25; $P_0=2P_0$

$\frac{2P_0}{P_0}=\frac{P_0\,e^{25k}}{P_0}$

$2=e^{25k}$

$\ln2=25k$

$k=\frac{\ln2}{25}$$\frac{dP}{dt}=kR$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{kt}$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{\frac{\ln2}{25}t}$

$800,000=300,000(2^{\frac{t}{25}}$

$\ln2.67=\frac{t}{25}\ln2$

$t= 35.42$years

is this correct?
 
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bergausstein said:
1. Radium decomposes at a rate proportional to the amount at any instant. In 100 years, 100mg of radium decomposes to 96mg. How many mg will be left after 200 years?

2. if a population of a town doubled in the past 25 years and the present population is 300,000 when will the town have a population of 800,000?prob 1.

since 3mg of 100mg radium have decomposed over a period of 100 years this amount is 3% of the original amount.$\frac{R_0-0.03R_0}{R_0}=\frac{R_0\,e^{k100}}{R_0}$
Where did ".03" come from? The problem said that amount reduced from 100 to 96 mg. Where did the "3 mg" you refer to come from?
100-96= 4.

$\ln(1-0.03)=\ln(e^{k100})$

$\ln(1-0.03)=100k$

$k=\frac{\ln(1-0.03)}{100}$

when t=200

$R(200)=R_0\,e^{\ln(1-0.03)^2}$

$R(200)=100(0.9409)$

$R=94.09mg$ is this correct?

prob 2

$\frac{dP}{dt}=kP$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{kt}$

when t=25; $P_0=2P_0$

$\frac{2P_0}{P_0}=\frac{P_0\,e^{25k}}{P_0}$

$2=e^{25k}$

$\ln2=25k$

$k=\frac{\ln2}{25}$$\frac{dP}{dt}=kR$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{kt}$

$P(t)=P_0\,e^{\frac{\ln2}{25}t}$

$800,000=300,000(2^{\frac{t}{25}}$

$\ln2.67=\frac{t}{25}\ln2$

$t= 35.42$years

is this correct?
When I do it, using 8/3= 2.66666666666666667, I get 35.38 years. Don't round off until you have to! But the data given: 800,000, 300,000, and 25 are at most to 2 significant figures so I would say answer years anyway.
 
If we're going to actually solve an initial value problem, we could develop the general formula as follows:

$$\frac{dy}{dt}=ky$$ where $$y(0)=y_0$$

Separate variables, integrate with respect to $t$, switch dummy variables for clarity, and use the given boundaries as limits:

$$\int_{y_0}^{y(t)}\frac{1}{u}\,du=k\int_0^t\,dv$$

Apply the FTOC:

$$\ln\left|\frac{y(t)}{y_0} \right|=kt$$

Now, if we are given another point on the solution $\left(a,y_a \right)$ then we have:

$$\ln\left|\frac{y_a}{y_0} \right|=ka\implies k=\frac{1}{a}\ln\left|\frac{y_a}{y_0} \right|$$

And so we find:

$$\ln\left|\frac{y(t)}{y_0} \right|=\frac{1}{a}\ln\left|\frac{y_a}{y_0} \right|t$$

Hence:

(1) $$y(t)=y_0\left(\frac{y_a}{y_0} \right)^{\frac{t}{a}}$$

(2) $$t=\frac{a\ln\left|\frac{y(t)}{y_0} \right|}{\ln\left|\frac{y_a}{y_0} \right|}$$

Now we have formulas to answer this type of problem.

Problem 1: We want to use (1).

We identify:

$$y_0=100\text{ mg},\,y_a=96\text{ mg},\,a=100\text{ yr},\,t=200\text{ yr}$$

Plugging this into (1), we obtain:

$$y(t)=100\left(\frac{96}{100} \right)^{\frac{200}{100}}\text{ mg}=100\left(\frac{24}{25} \right)^2\text{ mg}=\frac{2304}{25}\text{ mg}=92.16\text{ mg}$$

Your error was, as HallsofIvy pointed out, one of subtraction.

Problem 2: We want to use (2).

We identify:

$$a=25\text{ yr},\,y_0=150000\,y_a=300000,\,y(t)=800000$$

Plugging this into (2), we obtain:

$$t=\frac{25\ln\left|\frac{800000}{150000} \right|}{\ln\left|\frac{300000}{150000} \right|}\text{ yr}=\frac{25\ln\left(\frac{16}{3} \right)}{\ln\left(2 \right)}\text{ yr}$$

Now, we want to subtract 25 from this because the starting point is 25 years ago. So we find the population will be 800,000 approximately 35.3759374819711 years from now.
 

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