Exponential population decay word problem

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a word problem involving exponential population decay, specifically focusing on an endangered species whose population decreases by 25% each year. The original poster is attempting to determine how many years it will take for the population to decrease from 7500 to 4000.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to apply the formula for exponential decay but struggles with determining the correct value of k. They explore calculations based on the population reduction and question the validity of their results. Other participants suggest that k should be negative and provide alternative formulations for the problem.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants providing different perspectives on the value of k and the appropriate formula to use. Some guidance has been offered regarding the correct interpretation of the decay process, and there is a mix of calculations being explored without a clear consensus on the final approach.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating the implications of using different mathematical representations for the decay process and are questioning the assumptions made in the original setup of the problem.

Jacobpm64
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Suppose that in any given year, the population of a certain endangered species is reduced by 25%. If the population is now 7500, in how many years will the population be 4000?
Well, I know that the formula for this is P(t) = Cekt.
I just can't figure out the value of k.
i did 7500 x .25 = 1875... 7500 - 1875 = 5625...
so i set up 7500x = 5625 and got .75.
so, essentially.. the population is growing at .75 per year.
so i used .75 as k and:
4000 = 7500e^(.75t)
4000/7500 = e^(.75t)
8/15 = e^(.75t)
ln(8/15) = .75t lne
ln(8/15) = .75t
t = [ln(8/15)] / .75
t = -.8381448792 years
This can't be correct because time isn't negative, and if you do it logically, it would be around 2. something years:
7500 x .75 = 5625 ----> 1 year
5625 x .75 = 4218.75 ----> 2 yrs
4218.75 x .75 = 3164.0625 ----> 3 yrs
So it's somewhere between 2 and 3 years... closer to 2 years.
and if i set up 4218.75x = 4000
x = .9481481481
so i know after 2 years.. i can multiply by .9481481481 and i get 4000..
but i don't know how to convert that into years.. since that is a percentage.
BLEH.. brain is about to explode.. don't know what to do.. lol :bugeye:
 
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Should K be -.25? The time comes out to 2.514 then
 
There is no reason at all to think that k= 0.75! Don't just plug numbers in at random- think!
Each year, the population decreases by 0.25 and so must be 0.75 times the previous years population. That is, if this year's (t= 1) population is P, next year's is 0.75P: 0.75P= Pek or ek= 0.75. Solve that for k.

Personally, I wouldn't use "ekt" at all. The population is multiplied by 0.75 each year so its population after t years would be P0(0.75)t. You want to solve
7500(0.75)t= 4000.
 
got it.. 2.1850811 years
 

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