Off the top of my head, I would say the video was computer generated/augmented.
But the maths are fun:
The video was taken at ≈9:23 pm, Moscow time.
The moon was 7.4° above the horizon.
The moon's direction was 134°, which puts it about half way between due south and due east.
The ufo's velocity relative to the moon was 49.4 km/sec, at an angle of -28.1° from horizontal, to the right.
The moons relative velocity to itself was 25.5 km/sec, at an angle of +22.5°, to the right. (±10%, as mentioned earlier)
Added together, I get a velocity of 67.6 km/sec @ 4°, to the right. Nearly horizontal.
The wind velocities that day over Moscow were fairly consistent. A couple of altitudes can be eliminated for balloons, I think.
Although none of the lines intersect,
I think if one takes into account that this graph is only valid when the observer's position is perpendicular to the moon, vs the 7° mentioned earlier, then there could be instances where balloons could have been involved.
ps. Off the bottom of my head, I would say the video was computer generated/augmented.