Are Two Supermassive Black Holes on a Collision Course?

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

Two supermassive black holes (SMBHs) are on a collision course, predicted to merge in approximately 10,000 years. This conclusion is based on findings from the paper titled "The Unanticipated Phenomenology of the Blazar PKS 2131–021," which indicates that these SMBHs are in a tight orbit with an orbital separation of approximately 0.001–0.01 parsecs. The study highlights unique periodic radio flux density variations over a 45.1-year light curve, suggesting a binary system with a rapid orbital period of just two Earth years. Current gravitational wave detectors like LIGO cannot detect these mergers due to frequency limitations, but optical telescopes are expected to monitor the event closely.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of supermassive black holes (SMBHs)
  • Familiarity with binary star systems and orbital mechanics
  • Knowledge of radio astronomy and flux density measurements
  • Awareness of gravitational wave detection technologies, specifically LIGO
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the implications of SMBH mergers on galaxy evolution
  • Study the methods used in radio astronomy to detect periodic flux variations
  • Explore the capabilities and limitations of current gravitational wave detectors
  • Investigate the observational strategies for monitoring SMBH mergers with optical telescopes
USEFUL FOR

Astronomers, astrophysicists, and researchers interested in black hole dynamics, galaxy formation, and the detection of gravitational waves will benefit from this discussion.

Tom.G
Science Advisor
Gold Member
Messages
5,661
Reaction score
4,506
Well, not right away. It's about 10 000yrs in the future.

From: THE ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS

The Unanticipated Phenomenology of the Blazar PKS 2131–021: A Unique Supermassive Black Hole Binary Candidate​


Popular version:
https://www.sciencealert.com/two-su...e-been-found-locked-in-the-tightest-orbit-yet
...two supermassive black holes are locked in an orbit so tight that they will collide with each other and form one much larger black hole in the relatively short time of just 10,000 years.
.
.
...so fast are they moving that it takes just two Earth years for the two objects to complete a binary orbit, compared to Pluto's 248 years.

Full technical paper:
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/ac504b
We report unique periodic radio flux density variations in the blazar PKS 2131−021, which strongly suggest an SMBHB <Super Massive Black Hole Binary> with an orbital separation of ∼0.001–0.01 pc. Our 45.1 yr radio light curve shows two epochs of strong sinusoidal variation with the same period and phase to within ≲2% and ∼10%, respectively, straddling a 20 yr period when this variation was absent.

Cheers,
Tom
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: Ibix
Astronomy news on Phys.org
Doggone it - that's when the plumber is coming!
 
  • Haha
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: Bruzote, collinsmark, Tom.G and 1 other person
Actually, there is a supermassive black hole (SMBH) merger predicted to happen quite soon, probably in 2022 (maybe as soon as a few months, but possible a few years, depending on the models.



Jiang et al. (2022; imminent merger of two SMBHs) - https://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.11633.pdf

Unfortunately, SMBH mergers are outside of the frequency range (too low of frequency) to be detected by our current generation gravitation wave detectors (e.g., LIGO). But I'm sure lots of conventional telescopes will be looking.
 
  • Informative
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: Tom.G and Oldman too

Similar threads

  • · Replies 0 ·
Replies
0
Views
2K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
3K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
3K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
4K
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
4K
  • · Replies 11 ·
Replies
11
Views
6K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
2K
  • · Replies 13 ·
Replies
13
Views
2K