MHB Bivariate discrete random variable

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The discussion revolves around calculating the correlation coefficient between the number of heads (X) obtained from drawing a biased coin N times, where N follows a Poisson distribution with an expected value of 1. The independence of the events allows for the use of joint distributions to derive necessary statistics. The variance of N is straightforward, but the challenge lies in determining the covariance and variances for X. Key calculations involve summing over possible values of X and N to find the means and variances, ultimately leading to the correlation formula. The discussion emphasizes the importance of understanding the joint distribution and the independence of variables in this context.
Yankel
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Hello

I am trying to solve this problem:

A coin is given with probability 1/3 for head (H) and 2/3 for tail (T).
The coin is being drawn N times, where N is a Poisson random variable with E(N)=1. The drawing of the coin and N are independent. Let X be the number of heads (H) in the N draws. What is the correlation coefficient of X and N ?

So I started this by creating a table as if it was a finite problem, just to see how it behaves, but it didn't lead me too far. Since there is independence, every event P(X=x , N=n) is equal to P(X=x|N=n)*P(N=n). So this is like a tree diagram sample space. In order to find the correlation, I need the covariance and the variances. The variance of N, it's easy, 1. How do I find the rest of the stuff ?

Thanks !
 
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Yankel said:
Hello

I am trying to solve this problem:

A coin is given with probability 1/3 for head (H) and 2/3 for tail (T).
The coin is being drawn N times, where N is a Poisson random variable with E(N)=1. The drawing of the coin and N are independent. Let X be the number of heads (H) in the N draws. What is the correlation coefficient of X and N ?

So I started this by creating a table as if it was a finite problem, just to see how it behaves, but it didn't lead me too far. Since there is independence, every event P(X=x , N=n) is equal to P(X=x|N=n)*P(N=n). So this is like a tree diagram sample space. In order to find the correlation, I need the covariance and the variances. The variance of N, it's easy, 1. How do I find the rest of the stuff ?

Thanks !

You have \(\bar{N}\), \(\sigma_N\) and the joint distribution, so:

$$ \bar{X} = \sum_{n=0..\infty, x=0,..n} x f_{X,N}(x,n)=\sum_{n=0..\infty} \frac{n}{3}f_N(n)=\frac{1}{3}\bar{N}$$

[math]\sigma^2_X= \sum_{n=0..\infty, x=0,..n} (x-\bar{X})^2 f_{X,N}(x,n)=\sum_{n=0..\infty}\frac{2n}{3}f_N(n)=\frac{2}{3}\bar{N}[/math]

$${\rm{Cov}}(X,N)= \sum_{n=0..\infty, x=0,..n} (x-\bar{X})(n-\bar{N}) f_{X,N}(x,n)=\sum_{n=0..\infty}\frac{(n-\bar{N})^2}{3}f_N(n)=\frac{\sigma^2_N}{3}$$

so:

$$\rho_{X,N}=\frac{{\rm{Cov}}(X,N)}{\sigma_X \sigma_N}=\ ...$$

The key idea here is that for the double summation you can always choose to do that over \(x\) first.

.
 
Last edited:
There is a nice little variation of the problem. The host says, after you have chosen the door, that you can change your guess, but to sweeten the deal, he says you can choose the two other doors, if you wish. This proposition is a no brainer, however before you are quick enough to accept it, the host opens one of the two doors and it is empty. In this version you really want to change your pick, but at the same time ask yourself is the host impartial and does that change anything. The host...

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