mheslep said:
How is the outcome sharply "right"? Would the referendum make things "ugly", vs the outcome of no referendum?
rootone said:
The referendum in itself is not ugly, what worries me is that the argument seems to have been won on the basis of stirring up racist sentiment, more general xenophobia, and the notion that this will somehow restore the UK to the position of being a global economic power ruling over an empire full of readily exploitable resources.
I wouldn't necessarily classify the stereotypical (which I mention so that it's clear that I don't think everyone can be described as this) leave-voter as right wing. If you look at the extreme right, Eurosceptic parties in Europe, they are right in 1 aspect only; immigration. For all other categories, they would register left to nearly extreme left. Look at the economic programs -as far as they have any serious plans- of these parties; UKIP in the UK, FN in France, VB in Belgium, PVV in the Netherlands. They would be branded as communists by some of the less nuanced people in the US.
This can be seen in the suggestion that the £350m could be used to fund the NHS, not really a right wing statement.
They are difficult to classify in a simple left-right division, since their opinions are sometimes all over the place to fit with what the people want to hear. (This is not necessarily bad of course. I'm always more suspicious of people who identify with a specific party. I don't think all problems are best solved by adhering to one particular strategy, be it conservative, progressive or something else. But that's another discussion.)
I can only offer anecdotal stories of my uncle during the dreaded family dinner discussions. While not living in the UK, my uncle (and most of that branch of the family) would be susceptible to Eurosceptic arguments. And what I can extract from his statements is a quite self-centered worldview filled with negativity bias. He votes for parties on the right because the left has given too much handouts to people. 5 minutes later he is complaining about the current center-right government, because they have cut spending on one of the social programs he benefitted from... He was a hard working person, so he doesn't see those benefits as handouts. But when his neighbour receives state support, it's unfair because why should he be paying for his neighbour's undeserved luxury. Add immigration, unemployment, austerity, corrupt and selfish politicians (forget the story 5 minutes earlier when he himself evaded taxes and sort of defrauded the insurance company, that's not corruption or selfishness on his part of course, not at all) and you get a very negative worldview where other people are benefitting at your cost and all that could be changed when the (unselfish) working classes take back control.
I think I'm reasonable when I say my uncle is an uneducated selfish idiot with very little self-knowledge, but I wouldn't dare to put all leave-voters in this pigeon hole, although I do think people like this are more attracted to the leave camp. And they tend to be more vocal than more moderate voters so you can easily get a certain impression when looking at internet forums or interviews.
There are idiots on both sides that haven't got a clue what the implications of their vote are. I would say 99% of people have no idea of the exact economical implications (economists themselves are providing contradictory estimates), which is why I'm not exactly a fan of referenda on complex matters as these. But you easily sound condescending when you try to argue this, although I must admit I probably am condescending from time to time and definitely biased against uncles :)
I share the opinion with others in this topic that the campaign on both sides was quite poorly executed. Everyone knows that fearmongering doom scenarios are counter effective, so why even bother? While reading some articles with statements from Cameron during the weeks before the referendum, I almost had to conclude he had to be a mole :)
Well, there is at least one thing I'm glad for, and that is that conspiracy theorist have less material now. A week before the referendum, the local lower class newspaper comment section was filled with comments about how the corrupt EU would never allow the UK to leave and the voting would surely be manipulated.
At least we won't have to read all that now.