Can statistics be manipulated to support both true and false arguments?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the manipulation of statistics and whether they can be misrepresented to support both true and false arguments. Participants explore the implications of data mining, the integrity of statistical models, and the general public's understanding of statistics.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants assert that statistics can be mathematically misrepresented to support various arguments, both true and false.
  • Data mining is mentioned as a method that allows for any statistical result to be achieved.
  • One participant questions the meaning of "misrepresented," suggesting that while lies can be used to prove a point, that may not align with the intended meaning of the term.
  • Another participant emphasizes that proper statistical models depend on strict application of techniques and assumptions, noting that misuse is common due to a general lack of understanding among the public.
  • A similar point is reiterated by another participant, highlighting that while statistics can be misrepresented, the underlying mathematics remains accurate.
  • One participant agrees that statistics can be used dishonestly in a way that may be accepted by those not well-versed in statistics, but expresses uncertainty about whether this is always the case.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the nature of statistical misrepresentation and its implications. There is no consensus on the extent to which statistics can be manipulated or the definitions of misrepresentation.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight the complexity of statistical interpretation and the potential for misuse, but do not resolve the nuances of what constitutes misrepresentation or the conditions under which it occurs.

Loren Booda
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Would you agree that statistics can be mathematically misrepresented to prove most related arguments both true and false?
 
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Loren Booda said:
Would you agree that statistics can be mathematically misrepresented to prove most related arguments both true and false?

Data mining allows any statistical result.
 
Depends on what you mean by misrepresented. You can certainly prove whatever you want with lies, but I don't think that's what you mean...
 
I would say that proper statistical models usually rely on a very strict application of techniques and assumptions. It is an area that is not well known by most people so it is very easy to use them improperly. It is no different than any other form of mathematics. People misrepresent statistics. The math does not lie.
 
FredGarvin said:
I would say that proper statistical models usually rely on a very strict application of techniques and assumptions. It is an area that is not well known by most people so it is very easy to use them improperly. It is no different than any other form of mathematics. People misrepresent statistics. The math does not lie.
That's what I needed to hear.
 
Loren Booda said:
Would you agree that statistics can be mathematically misrepresented to prove most related arguments both true and false?

If you mean use a statistic in such a way which is dishonest/incorrect, but which the average, non-statistically minded person, would accept as a correct use of the statistic, then I would agree it can often be used this way. I do not know if one could say 'always'.
 

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