Card Game Probability Question

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In the card game Snap, players turn over cards alternately, and a match allows the first to call "snap" to win the piles. The initial probability calculation for turning over four cards without a match was incorrectly computed as 2112/4165. The correct probability is 3464/4165, as the calculation must account for different scenarios where matches can occur. The discussion highlights the importance of considering all possible outcomes when calculating probabilities in card games. Understanding these nuances is crucial for accurate probability assessments in Snap.
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In the card game Snap, two players each start with half of a shuffled deck. Alternately, each player turns up the top card of their pile. When the top cards of the face-up piles match (but are obviously different suits), the first person to say “snap” gets both face-up piles. When a player reaches the bottom of their pile, both players shuffle their cards then resume playing.

b. What is the probability that the players will turn over 4 cards (2 each without a match).

P(turn over 4 cards with no match: 48/51 * 44/50 * 40/49 * 36/48 = 2112/4165

Unfortunately, that was the wrong answer. The answer is 3464/4165 and I am not sure why.
 
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Hi Procrastinate! :wink:
Procrastinate said:
b. What is the probability that the players will turn over 4 cards (2 each without a match).

P(turn over 4 cards with no match: 48/51 * 44/50 * 40/49 * 36/48 = 2112/4165

He he :biggrin: … you've obviously never played snap!

You can only shout "SNAP!" if the top cards on each pile match. :smile:
 
You are calculating when all 4 cards are different. But that's not the only way for no matches to occur.
 
Tedjn said:
You are calculating when all 4 cards are different. But that's not the only way for no matches to occur.

Actually, my mistake, I forgot to add the previous cards back in since they are no longer the top card. Therefore it is:

48/51*47/50*46/49
 
You are still missing a case. What happens if the third card is equal to the first card?
 

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