Cases of Monkey Pox in England/UK, US, Portugal, Spain

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the recent outbreak of monkeypox, with a focus on confirmed cases in the UK, US, Portugal, and Spain, as well as reports from Australia. Participants explore the implications of these cases, historical warnings about the disease, and the potential for future outbreaks.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Historical

Main Points Raised

  • Initial reports confirm multiple cases of monkeypox in the UK, with the UK Health Security Agency stating the public risk remains low.
  • New cases have also been reported in the US, Portugal, and Spain, raising concerns about a wider outbreak.
  • Some participants express concern that the current situation could lead to another pandemic.
  • Reports indicate a probable case of monkeypox in Australia, with confirmed cases emerging in Victoria.
  • The World Health Organization is holding an emergency meeting to address the outbreak, which has been described as the largest in Europe to date.
  • Concerns are raised about the case fatality rate of monkeypox, particularly in regions with limited medical care.
  • Historical predictions from 1988 about the potential for increased monkeypox outbreaks are referenced, highlighting the foresight of scientists regarding the disease's spread.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views, with some agreeing on the seriousness of the outbreak while others highlight historical warnings and potential future implications. There is no consensus on the overall risk or the best way to respond to the outbreak.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include varying definitions of risk, differing interpretations of historical data, and the evolving nature of the outbreak across different regions.

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TL;DR
Monkey Pox spreading internationally
On7 May, BBC reported "Monkeypox case confirmed in England"
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-61363896

Two more cases confirmed on 14 May.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-61449214

BBC reports "Four more people in England have been diagnosed with monkeypox. "
The UK Health Security Agency says the risk to the public remains very low, although it appears the individuals caught it in the UK.
Monkeypox is usually associated with travel to West Africa.

The new cases - three in London and one in north-east England - do not have any known links with two other cases confirmed on 14 May or another case announced on 7 May.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-61470940

So 7 cases of monkey pox in the UK, in 9 days.
 
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Biology news on Phys.org
I edited the title to reflect new cases in US, Portugal and Spain.

U.S. monkeypox case reported, as Spain, Portugal report infections in growing outbreak​

https://www.statnews.com/2022/05/18...ypox-cases-raising-specter-of-wider-outbreak/

Apparently, there have been isolated cases in the US before, and those were related to people who traveled to or arrived from Nigeria.

CDC expresses concern about possibility of undetected monkeypox spread in U.K.​

https://www.statnews.com/2022/05/17...bility-of-undetected-monkeypox-spread-in-u-k/
 
The next pandemic I say...
 
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LONDON, May 20 (Reuters) - The World Health Organization was holding an emergency meeting on Friday to discuss the recent outbreak of monkeypox, a viral infection more common to west and central Africa, after over 100 cases were confirmed or suspected in Europe.

In what Germany described as the largest outbreak in Europe ever, cases have been reported in at least nine countries – Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom - as well as the United States, Canada and Australia.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europ...ng-monkeypox-cases-top-100-europe-2022-05-20/

https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/monkeypox
 
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3-6% Case fatality rate is high. That data would be primarily in Africa where medical care will be limited?
Either way, 'largest out break ever' is not the language anyone wants to hear on the back of a pandemic.
 
Scientists warned us about monkeypox in 1988. Here's why they were right.

Back in 1988, scientists in London almost seem to have had a crystal ball.

Writing in the International Journal of Epidemiology, they made a bold – and surprisingly prescient – prediction about monkeypox: Over time, "the average magnitude and duration of monkeypox epidemics will increase," they wrote.

At the time, monkeypox was an extremely rare disease. Health-care workers detected only a few cases a year in West and Central Africa. People caught the disease almost exclusively from rodents or primates and then spread the virus to only a few people. Transmission between people was limited.

But the foresighted scientists warned that, over time, these sporadic outbreaks would grow in size and spread geographically. "In every monkeypox paper on previous outbreaks, there's always a warning about how we need to prepare for more outbreaks in the future," says infectious disease doctor Boghuma Titanji of Emory University. "That prediction has actually borne out."

Back in the 1990s, there were only about 50 monkeypox cases a year in West and Central Africa. Jump ahead 20 years, and in 2020, there were likely more than 5,000 cases, scientists reported in February.

Now, in 2022, the world is facing the first international outbreak of monkeypox, with more than 450 cases reported in about 20 countries.
 
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