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(CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY) Which probability would you expect to be greater?

  1. Sep 26, 2009 #1
    Which probability would you expect to be greater?

    (a) The probability that a person is smart given that he has a university degree,

    OR,

    (b) the probability that a person has a university degree given that he is smart?


    I would say (a)>(b), but, what would you say?
     
    Last edited: Sep 26, 2009
  2. jcsd
  3. Sep 26, 2009 #2

    LCKurtz

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    With no data, we're just guessing aren't we. I would guess in agreement with you because I would guess that the proportion of people with university degrees worldwide isn't that large, smart or not.
     
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