Earth inclination vs climate transitions

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the potential effects of Earth's orbital inclination on climate transitions, particularly in relation to tidal impacts and ocean circulation in polar regions. Participants explore the relationship between orbital mechanics, specifically inclination cycles, and climate phenomena, including ice age transitions.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that changes in Earth's orbital inclination may influence the impact zone of lunar tides, potentially altering ocean circulation in polar seas.
  • Others reference Milankovitch cycles as a framework for understanding climate transitions, but propose that inclination cycles could provide a better explanation than eccentricity cycles.
  • A participant questions the validity of claims regarding the inclination cycle's ability to redirect ocean tides and its implications for ice age transitions.
  • One participant introduces research by Keeling & Whorf, proposing that variations in tidal forces, influenced by lunar declination and Earth's orbital changes, may contribute to abrupt climate fluctuations on millennial timescales.
  • Another participant expresses interest in the connection between inclination cycles and Bond cycles, indicating ongoing research in this area.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the effects of orbital inclination on climate. Multiple competing views and hypotheses are presented, with some participants supporting the idea of tidal influences while others remain skeptical or seek further evidence.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the need for more empirical evidence to support claims about the influence of inclination cycles on climate and the complexity of interactions between various orbital parameters and climate systems.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be of interest to those studying climate science, orbital mechanics, and the historical context of climate transitions, particularly in relation to tidal forces and ocean circulation patterns.

peterjfharris
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I have seen an unverified post which claims that changes in Earth orbit inclination (to the invariable plane) may alter the impact zone of Lunar tides and alter circulation of warmed MOC in the Polar sea. This orbit inclination cycles with a frequency of 100KY which matches and is in phase with Eccentricity and the ice age transitions.
Does anyone have more info or a link to show how these inclination changes could interact with climate?
Peter
 
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Thanks I am familiar with Milankovich cycles and also the paper by Muller. The Muller inclination cycles would be a better solution for climate transitions than Milankovich Eccentricity cycles if we could show that inclination (to the invariable plane) will modulate climate either by affecting insolation or by some other means . That is my question. I have seen a suggestion that this inclination cycle will redirect ocean tides affecting sea circulation around the Polar sea and could cause an ice age transition.
Is that true ?
Peter
 
peterjfharris said:
I have seen a suggestion that this inclination cycle will redirect ocean tides affecting sea circulation around the Polar sea and could cause an ice age transition.
Is that true ?
Peter

Link to source?

100,000 year problem is still up in the air.
Here is a summary of what's being investigated...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100,000-year_problem#Solutions_to_the_problem
 
Let's remember that discussions of current CC or AGW is a closed topic.
 
Evo
I am looking for an answer to my question which relates to orbital inclination possible effect on climate. Nix to CC or AGW.
Peter
 
peterjfharris said:
Evo
I am looking for an answer to my question which relates to orbital inclination possible effect on climate. Nix to CC or AGW.
Peter
That's why I left your thread open and deleted 2 posts.
 
Tidal effects.

As ocean currents and sea/air energy transfers vary with tides, whose ranges vary with polar inclination, precession, arcane changes in Moon's orbit etc etc, you may find the following work by Keeling & Whorf interesting.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC18099/

quote:
Variations in solar irradiance are widely believed to explain climatic change on 20,000- to 100,000-year time-scales in accordance with the Milankovitch theory of the ice ages, but there is no conclusive evidence that variable irradiance can be the cause of abrupt fluctuations in climate on time-scales as short as 1,000 years. We propose that such abrupt millennial changes, seen in ice and sedimentary core records, were produced in part by well characterized, almost periodic variations in the strength of the global oceanic tide-raising forces caused by resonances in the periodic motions of the Earth and moon. A well defined 1,800-year tidal cycle is associated with gradually shifting lunar declination from one episode of maximum tidal forcing on the centennial time-scale to the next. An amplitude modulation of this cycle occurs with an average period of about 5,000 years, associated with gradually shifting separation-intervals between perihelion and syzygy at maxima of the 1,800-year cycle. We propose that strong tidal forcing causes cooling at the sea surface by increasing vertical mixing in the oceans. On the millennial time-scale, this tidal hypothesis is supported by findings, from sedimentary records of ice-rafting debris, that ocean waters cooled close to the times predicted for strong tidal forcing.
quote/
 
Thanks Nik that was helpful. I had been researching Bond cycles and it links.
 

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