Estimating the standard deviation

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on estimating the standard deviation in the context of linear problems represented by the equation Mp = d, where d is the data vector, p is the parameter vector, and M is the observation matrix. The standard deviation estimate is derived using the formula σ²_estimate = (1/N)∑(d_i - (Mp)_i)², where (Mp)_i serves as the mean value for the observed data. This approach is valid under the assumption that the fitted parameters yield a reliable estimate of the mean and that the error distribution is consistent across all observations.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of linear regression concepts
  • Familiarity with the notation and operations of matrices
  • Knowledge of statistical measures, specifically standard deviation
  • Basic grasp of error analysis in statistical modeling
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the derivation of standard deviation in linear regression contexts
  • Learn about the properties of overdetermined systems in linear algebra
  • Explore error distribution assumptions in statistical modeling
  • Investigate the implications of parameter fitting on model accuracy
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Statisticians, data analysts, and machine learning practitioners who are involved in linear regression modeling and need to understand error estimation techniques.

Niles
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Hi

Say I have a linear problem Mp = d, where d is our data, p our parameters and M our "observation matrix" (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverse_problem#Linear_inverse_problems). So what we are dealing with is an overdetermined problem.

Now, I have read an example where we have a vector of data d whose standard deviation we don't know. Then we try and estimate it, and the estimate is given by

[tex] \sigma ^2 _{estimate} = \frac{1}{N}\sum\limits_i {\left( {d_i - \left( {Mp} \right)_i } \right)^2 } [/tex]

My question is: How can they estimate the standard deviation like this? Usually we would use the mean, but they use (Mp)i, and I can't quite see why this yields an estimate.
 
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Niles said:
How can they estimate the standard deviation like this? Usually we would use the mean,

Suppose you are doing linear regression and the fitted equation is y = Ax + B. If you assume the random variable y_observed has mean Ax + B at each x value and also that the distribution of errors about the mean is the same at each x value, then you can estimate the standard deviation of y_observed by using the quantities ( y_observed - Ax)^2 since Ax is the mean value of y at that particular value of x.

The example may assume that the p vector is fitted well enough so that [itex]{(MP)}_i[/itex] is the mean value of [itex]d_i[/itex] and that the distribution of errors from the mean is identical for all [itex]i[/itex].
 
Ah, I see. Thanks for taking the time to help me!
 

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