I Expected number of random variables that must be observed

Click For Summary
The expected number of random variables to be observed is calculated as E[N] = p^{-4}q^{-3} + p^{-2}q^{-1} + 2p^{-1}. There was a discussion about a potential typographical error in the expression for XN, which should be corrected to XN = p^{-4}q^{-3} - p^{-3}q^{-2} - p^{-2}q^{-1} - p^{-1}. The author’s answer to part (a) was confirmed as correct, while another participant acknowledged their mistake. The method used in the calculations was praised as innovative and effective. Overall, the conversation focused on clarifying the correct formulas and acknowledging errors in the initial responses.
WMDhamnekar
MHB
Messages
376
Reaction score
28
TL;DR
Expected number of random variables that must be observed before any specific sequence.
1681819271091.png

1681819316814.png

In my opinion, answer to (a) is ## \mathbb{E} [N] = p^{-4}q^{-3} + p^{-2}q^{-1} + 2p^{-1} ##
In answer to (b), XN is wrong. It should be XN=p-4q-3 - p-3 q-2- p-2 q-1 - p-1. This might be a typographical error.
Is my answer to (a) correct?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
WMDhamnekar said:
In my opinion, answer to (a) is ## \mathbb{E} [N] = p^{-4}q^{-3} + p^{-2}q^{-1} + 2p^{-1} ##
Please explain your reasoning.

For b) I agree with you.
 
haruspex said:
Please explain your reasoning.

For b) I agree with you.
Answer to (a) given by author is correct. My answer is wrong. Thanks for bringing my error to my notice.
 
WMDhamnekar said:
Answer to (a) given by author is correct. My answer is wrong. Thanks for bringing my error to my notice.
You are welcome.
I had never seen this method before. It's brilliant- thanks for posting.
 
  • Like
Likes WMDhamnekar
There is a nice little variation of the problem. The host says, after you have chosen the door, that you can change your guess, but to sweeten the deal, he says you can choose the two other doors, if you wish. This proposition is a no brainer, however before you are quick enough to accept it, the host opens one of the two doors and it is empty. In this version you really want to change your pick, but at the same time ask yourself is the host impartial and does that change anything. The host...

Similar threads

  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
2K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
1K
  • · Replies 16 ·
Replies
16
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K