Freak waves are real: A lesson in objectivity

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the existence and recognition of freak waves, also known as rogue waves, in maritime contexts. Participants explore historical perceptions, scientific acceptance, and the implications of recent research on these phenomena. The conversation touches on anecdotal evidence from sailors, scientific skepticism, and the evolution of understanding regarding these large ocean waves.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants assert that freak waves were long dismissed as myth, while others argue they have been generally accepted in the scientific community for some time.
  • One participant highlights that the recent satellite imagery from ESA has provided concrete evidence of rogue waves, which may have shifted scientific perspectives.
  • Concerns are raised about the historical lack of research and funding dedicated to studying rogue waves, suggesting that recent interest may be driven by newfound evidence rather than longstanding scientific consensus.
  • Participants discuss the terminology used, noting differences between "freak waves" and "rogue waves," with some suggesting that the latter term has been more commonly used historically.
  • There is a distinction made between the acceptance of large wave observations and the explanations for their occurrence, with some participants indicating that previous explanations were inadequate.
  • One participant draws parallels between the acceptance of freak waves and other phenomena, such as UFOs, suggesting that human testimony over time can be a reliable indicator of reality.
  • Questions are raised about the availability of scientific literature on rogue waves prior to recent discoveries, with a call for evidence supporting the claim that they were widely accepted as genuine phenomena.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the historical acceptance of freak waves, with some believing they were dismissed as myths while others contend that they were recognized but poorly understood. The discussion remains unresolved regarding the extent of scientific acceptance and the reasons for the recent surge in interest.

Contextual Notes

Participants note limitations in the historical understanding of rogue waves, including the quality of observations and the lack of quantitative data. The conversation reflects a complex interplay of anecdotal evidence, scientific skepticism, and evolving research priorities.

  • #31
Ivan Seeking said:
As I asked earlier: Where are the scientific papers from ten, or twenty, or even fifty years ago?
This is quite comparable to the microburst situation, where pilots were getting knocked out of the sky, but "science" hadn't caught up with it yet: the phenomenon was rare enough to make it very difficult to collect any data. Verification has only been quite recent.
 
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  • #32
This is quite comparable to the microburst situation, where pilots were getting knocked out of the sky, but "science" hadn't caught up with it yet: the phenomenon was rare enough to make it very difficult to collect any data. Verification has only been quite recent.

I think so. I am sure that some scientists have always been interested in all of this, but the same is true of UFOs, ghosts, ESP, etc, etc. This does not indicate a general level of acceptance though.

I'm not sure what Bystander thought applied here but if this was the same thing then poeple wouldn't be trying to explain all of this right now. This is not understood to any signficant degree, at least with any degree of certainty.
 
  • #33
Ivan Seeking said:
I think so. I am sure that some scientists have always been interested in all of this, but the same is true of UFOs, ghosts, ESP, etc, etc. This does not indicate a general level of acceptance though.
I'm not sure what you're saying. My point is that in spite of any potential interest no breakthrough can be made till someone figures out a way to collect data. Till then, even open minded scientists are hamstrung, and reduced to saying: "As far as science is concerned, no such phenomenon exists." "No praise, no blame", here, as it says in the I-Ching. Science runs on data.
 
  • #34
You only elucidate why I found the maritime courts as a unique point of reference in the first place. Also, it is not a black and white issue as to when something is considered real or not by the scientific community. For example, there are still serious scientists who argue for the aether, as opposed to GR. Is relativity accepted or not?

I can also point to numerous arguments from respected scientists that ET is here. Is ET considered to be here or not? If ET lands at the White House tomorrow, can we then claim that ET was recognized as real by scientists all along, we just didn't have good data?

If you are saying that we had no phsical evidence, I don't agree. We had ships of known sizes and construction that were damaged or destroyed by a wave of an approximately known size, and usually the direction of travel. This gives us some baseline numbers like mass, speed, span of origin, orientation wrt the existing swells, local islands or land masses that might influence the behavior of waves. We might experiement and predict situation where Rogue waves are likely, and then look for evidence of such locations. This is just shooting from the hip on a moments notice.
 
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  • #35
Ivan Seeking said:
You only elucidate why I found the maritime courts as a unique point of reference in the first place.
This sentence could mean that I elucidate why you consider the maritime court situation uniquely applicable to your case, or it could mean I elucidate why the maritime court situation is the single instance that you could find about this. I think that sometimes in haste you write things that you aren't aware are ambiguous to the reader.
 
  • #36
I mean because of the difficulty in identifying the "official scientific position" on a subject - a spectrum of beliefs with no absolute point of reference. UFO people often refer to the "giggle factor" as another measure.
 
  • #37
Ivan Seeking said:
I mean because of the difficulty in identifying the "official scientific position" on a subject - a spectrum of beliefs with no absolute point of reference.
Hmmm. Let's see how long you can remain ambiguous. You realize this is an incomplete sentence don't you? All I get from it is an impression of what you're talking about without knowing your actual thought.
UFO people often refer to the "giggle factor" as another measure.
Another measure of what?
 
  • #38
You seem to be missing the basic point of the conversation: The measure of acceptance of a concept or claim, and how we measure that acceptance.

I think you are just being contrary. You get like this sometimes. You start nitpicking
 
  • #39
Ivan Seeking said:
I mean because of the difficulty in identifying the "official scientific position" on a subject - a spectrum of beliefs with no absolute point of reference.
I'm sorry. I really don't believe it is warranted for you to call me nitpicky because I don't know what this sentence fragment means. Don't burden your readers with impressionistic half thoughts, and ambiguous whole thoughts. Just write clearly.
 
  • #40
Zooby you need to understand that I don't understand why my meaning is unclear. You then take a much more aggressive posture and I have no idea why.

Why do you start with the insults?
Hmmm. Let's see how long you can remain ambiguous. You realize this is an incomplete sentence don't you? All I get from it is an impression of what you're talking about without knowing your actual thought.

This is what puts me on the defense. Honestly, on rare occasion you seem downright insincere to me. This is one of them. This has happened from time to time ever since you first showed up at this forum. I assume that this is not the case but I certainly don't understand why you start getting nasty with me.
 

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