- #1
Incitatus89
- 2
- 0
Dear Forumites,
First time poster so take it easy on me!
I've stubled upon a question that my pea-sized brain cannot answer. This is not uncommon for a man of my (lack of) intelligence, but it's killing me to not know the answer! Any help massively appreciated.
I have determined a basic method which predicts the chances of Player A beating Player B in golf competition. However when the competition becomes 3-way I don't know how to calculate the chances of Player A beating Players B and C given the events are dependent.
For example:
Player A beats Player B 70% of the time.
Player A beats Player C 60% of the time.
What are the chances of A emerging victorious?
Clearly the events are dependent, if A beats C than it is highly likely that he will have beaten B also. But how likely?
Sorry if this question and example is awfully worded. I could have asked it in a sports forum but this requires a math brain me thinks!
Cheers! :-)
First time poster so take it easy on me!
I've stubled upon a question that my pea-sized brain cannot answer. This is not uncommon for a man of my (lack of) intelligence, but it's killing me to not know the answer! Any help massively appreciated.
I have determined a basic method which predicts the chances of Player A beating Player B in golf competition. However when the competition becomes 3-way I don't know how to calculate the chances of Player A beating Players B and C given the events are dependent.
For example:
Player A beats Player B 70% of the time.
Player A beats Player C 60% of the time.
What are the chances of A emerging victorious?
Clearly the events are dependent, if A beats C than it is highly likely that he will have beaten B also. But how likely?
Sorry if this question and example is awfully worded. I could have asked it in a sports forum but this requires a math brain me thinks!
Cheers! :-)