Is Scientific Progress Linear or Exponential?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the nature of scientific progress, specifically whether it is linear or exponential. Participants agree that scientific advancements tend to follow an exponential model, referencing Moore's Law as a foundational principle. The inquiry seeks existing models that illustrate the relationship between scientific revolutions and technological advancements over time.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Moore's Law and its implications on technology.
  • Familiarity with models of scientific revolutions.
  • Basic knowledge of exponential growth concepts.
  • Awareness of historical scientific advancements and their timelines.
NEXT STEPS
  • Research existing models of scientific revolutions, such as Thomas Kuhn's framework.
  • Explore the implications of Moore's Law on technology and innovation cycles.
  • Investigate case studies of exponential growth in scientific fields.
  • Examine the impact of technological advancements on societal change over time.
USEFUL FOR

Researchers, historians of science, and technology enthusiasts interested in understanding the dynamics of scientific progress and its implications for future innovations.

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Does anyone know of where I can find a model on scientific revolutions and technology on a timescale?

Would you expect it to be linear or exponential?
 
Science news on Phys.org
Would mods move this to the more appropriate section?
 
Exponential of course.
 
Yeah that's what I insisted based on the history of science and the conclusion from Moore's law but I want to see if it has actually been modeled.
 

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