How Can I Describe a Distribution of Decay Times for Individual Unstable Nuclei?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around describing the distribution of decay times for individual unstable nuclei, focusing on the atomic perspective rather than the ensemble behavior typically represented by the exponential decay law. Participants explore stochastic processes and statistical modeling related to nuclear decay.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant notes the need for a distribution function for the decay times of individual nuclei, emphasizing the stochastic nature of the process.
  • Another participant clarifies that nuclear decay occurs in the nucleus and highlights the randomness of decay times, suggesting that the decay time reflects the probability of decay in the next time interval.
  • A participant expresses interest in whether a distribution can be established for decay times based on observed decay events.
  • One response explains that stochastic modeling would rely on probabilistic methods, specifically the decay constant, to evaluate decay times.
  • Another participant introduces three types of statistical time distributions (binomial, Poisson, and Gaussian) and discusses their applicability based on the size of the radioactive sample and the number of decays.
  • A later reply shares a personal success in modeling the decay distribution using Monte Carlo methods, detailing two approaches: a time discretization method and the inverse transform method, offering to share code for these methods.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree on the stochastic nature of nuclear decay and the need for probabilistic modeling. However, there are multiple competing views regarding the specific statistical methods and distributions applicable to the problem, and the discussion remains unresolved on the best approach.

Contextual Notes

Participants mention various statistical distributions without resolving which is most appropriate for the specific scenario of individual nuclei decay. The discussion also reflects differing levels of familiarity with stochastic calculus and modeling techniques.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be useful for researchers or students interested in nuclear physics, stochastic processes, and statistical modeling of decay phenomena.

elduderino
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We all know that for an ensemble of particles we can use the exponential decay law. However, the problem I am working on requires to look at nuclei from an atomic perspective. Wikipedia says that this is a stochastic process on the atomic level. I do not have much knowledge of stochastic calculus so I would need help here...

Suppose we have a bunch of nuclei which are decaying. I wish to know a distribution function for the time in which a nuclei from the bunch would decay.

How do I do this?
 
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Hi there,

Just a few words about your post. I dont' think that wikipedia says that the decay of nuclei has anything to do with the level of the atoms. A nuclear decay happens in the nucleus of an atom, which there you have it right, it has to do with the unstability of the nucleons.

For events to happen, we know that a bunch of unstable nuclei will decay at a certain rate. What we don't know is when each and every one of them will decay: the stochastic process. Therefore, if you are looking for a way to know which one will decay when, well we all are, and specially the nuclear business would love to know. But what the decay time tells you about each specific nucleus is the probability of decay in the next time interval, that's it.

Cheers
 


By "viewing it as an atomic process" i simply mean, concentrating on a single decaying nuclei. I understand that it cannot be determined when a nuclei decays, but that might not mean some sort of stochastic modeling cannot be done...

and that is what I'm looking for. Suppose some nuclei decays at time t1, another at t2, then is there a to be a distribution for t ... ?
 


Hi there,

Stochastic means that the process is random. Therefore, when looking at just one nucleus, you can only use probabilistic methods to evaluate its decay. So the stochastic model that you are looking for would be base on the probability of decay in the next so long. And this is exactly what the decay constanct provides.

Cheers
 


There are actually three basic types of statistical time distributions; binomial, poisson, and gaussian. These are reviewed in

http://www.asp.ucar.edu/colloquium/1992/notes/part1/pdf/chapt3.pdf

This article is very brief, but does cover the essentials. Gaussian time distribution should only be used if the number of atoms N that are radioactive, and the number of atoms that decay D in time interval t are both large numbers. If N is very large (over say 10,000), but if D is small (under ~10), then poisson statistics should be used. This is closely related to time interval statistics. If both N and D are small (under 100 and 10 respectively), then binomial statistics should be used.

The best thorough discussion of counting statistics I have seen is in the textbook "The Atomic Nucleus" by Evans, published about 1955. This edition is available via Amazon.com for ~$20.00.

Bob S
 
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Hey, just for the record I was able to do it. Since the exponential decay is a truly random memory-less process, we have to start with a method which mimics this. I was able to "solve" this problem (of recreating the exponential distribution from the individual atom's "perspective") by using two different monte carlo approaches.

One was what we can call a "time discretization" approach. In this, you take discrete time steps, and associate each unstable atom in your ensemble with a parameter [tex]u[/tex]which has a uniform random distribution and compare it to [tex]\lambda[/tex] (decay constant) for each atom, then increment the number of times [tex]u>\lambda[/tex] to get your distribution.

The second is a more mathematical and less programmatic one. Its called the "inverse transform method".

I have the programs written down for both of these in ROOT (basically C++) so if anyone needs them just send me a PM.
 

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