How can population growth be modeled using a simple equation?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around modeling population growth using a mathematical equation. The problem involves an initial population of 1000 individuals, with a yearly increase of 20% followed by a decrease of 100 individuals at the end of each year.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the calculation of population sizes at the end of the first and second years, questioning the order of operations regarding growth and decrease. There is also a focus on the interpretation of the timing of population changes relative to the calendar year.

Discussion Status

There is an ongoing exploration of the correct approach to calculating population sizes, with some participants suggesting different interpretations of when the population growth and decrease occur. A formula connecting the population sizes across years has been proposed and is under consideration.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating assumptions about the timing of population changes, specifically whether the calculations should be based on the start or end of the year. There is no consensus on the implications of these assumptions yet.

rock.freak667
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Homework Statement


In a model for the growth of a population,p_n is the number of individuals in the population at the end of n years. Initially, the population consists of 1000 individuals.

In each year, the population increases by 20% and on Dec.31st, 100 individuals leave the population.

a)Calculate p_1 \ and \ p_2
b)Write down an equation connecting p_{n+1} \ and \ p_n

Homework Equations



None

The Attempt at a Solution



Well at the initial time. p=1000

so at the end of the first year it would just be 1000-100
so that p_1=900

At the start of the next year the new population size is \frac{120}{100}*900=1080
so then simply p_2=1080-100=980

are these values correct?
If my answers are correct, then for part b) should it just simply be
p_{n+1}=(1.2*p_n)-100
 
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I think you want to grow the population by 20% first, then subtract 100. As you wrote in b), but didn't do in a).
 
But in part a) doesn't initially mean that it is at the start of the calendar year and the population growth should be valid for the year after?
 
I would say Dec 31 is at the end of the year, so you would start with 1000 on Jan 1 of the first year. I was just trying to make b) applicable to p0=1000. It's roughly the same problem either way, in one case you start with 1000 on Dec 31, in the other with 1000 on Jan 1.
 
so then the formula for P_n and P_n+1 is correct?
 
Yes, it is.
 

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