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Human marathon limit challenged by Nike

  1. Dec 25, 2016 #1
  2. jcsd
  3. Dec 31, 2016 #2
    Thanks for the thread! This is an automated courtesy bump. Sorry you aren't generating responses at the moment. Do you have any further information, come to any new conclusions or is it possible to reword the post? The more details the better.
     
  4. Jan 2, 2017 #3

    Ygggdrasil

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  5. Jan 4, 2017 #4
    That's 4:34 splits. I could barely run one mile at that pace in college. I was happy to get under three and a half hours and I felt like I was flying.
     
  6. Jan 4, 2017 #5

    mfb

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    An exponential fit starting at 2h+1h, used to predict something with a single-minute accuracy? That cannot work. See how the 2014 record ruined the whole analysis. I guess Bolt's 100 m record(s) ruined some similar trend lines - he ran 1% faster than anyone else.
     
  7. Jan 4, 2017 #6
    I don't like trendline with running events either. Often records stand for a long time then get shattered and then the old record is trampled on by everyone else. That's usually due to a breakthrough new training method.
     
  8. Jan 4, 2017 #7
    I think the idea is racing is invalid for actual record attempts, too many things on race day that makes data incomparable.
     
  9. Jan 5, 2017 #8

    mfb

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    One more comment on the last years: the blog article Ygggdrasil linked was from April 2011. At that time, the record was 2:03:59, set in 2008. It was improved to 2:03:38 in September 2011, 2:03:23 in 2013, and finally 2:02:57 in 2014 - always at the Berlin marathon, but from 3 different runners. 6 years after the article was written, the record improved by 1 minute and 2 seconds, and 7 athletes achieved times better than the 2008 record.

    Just based on the running times, there is no hard limit visible yet. In the last years not only the world record improved by 1 minute, the times of others improved by the same amount.
     
  10. Jan 5, 2017 #9
    Olympic marathoners are just incredible. I remember watching the last few miles of the front runners and thinking my god they are running faster in these last miles than I can sprint.
     
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