strangerep said:
Er, it's not clear whether you actually read the FMS paper.(?)
I can hardly bring myself to read it, it is so obnoxiously vacuous. It is effectively solipsistic. All the mysteries of quantum mechanics are to be resolved by focusing on the successive experiences of a single agent, and by refusing to think about any reality beyond that.
The further I look into this paper, the worse it looks. For example, in the title they promise a demonstration that quantum mechanics is local. How does it work? Well, their method, as I mentioned, is to focus on the experience of a single agent. Nonlocality involves mysterious connections between two spatially separate locations; but a single agent is only ever in one place at a time, therefore nonlocality cannot arise - apparently other places just don't exist!
Or look at the end of page 6 and beginning of page 7. EPR's perplexity arose because they insisted on thinking that physical theories make statements about physical reality. If only they had understood instead that physical theories are about "firmly held beliefs", then we could have avoided all that unpleasant agitation about the implications of quantum mechanics for the nature of physical reality. Under the QBist interpretation, QM is simply not about physical reality, therefore it has no such implications! Problems solved!
strangerep said:
Most of your post #2 seems to be constructing a straw man to represent me. (I don't respond to straw men.)
What I wrote is a protest against a certain type of quantum sophistry and a warning against falling for it, intended for anyone reading a thread like this.
On a second viewing, my judgement of this paper is even harsher. I take back what I said about how it might have some positive value.
If people want QM to make sense, all they have to say is that it gives you the probability for going from one physical situation to another, but that it doesn't tell you what happens in between. So it's incomplete. It's not the final theory of physics. That's all that has to be said.
(I put that in bold so that people who
are looking for a quantum philosophy, a way to understand what QM means, have something to work with. Those sentences in bold - that is the attitude towards QM that
I recommend.)
But too many people want to turn QM into a philosophical idol, a new kind of science, in which its incompleteness is mysteriously a virtue. For example, in this paper, the authors want to turn QM into a sort of solipsistic anti-theory, in which the answer to various questions is just: un-ask the question, we should only care about the experience of a single observer, nothing else matters.
I call this approach an anti-theory because a theory ventures to make statements about reality, and their whole approach is to eschew such statements on principle. They misunderstand the significance of the fact that everything comes to us through personal experience.
Unless one intends to be a solipsist, with no explanation at all of the regularities in your experience, then there is more to reality than just your private sensations. And traditionally, a physical theory consists of some hypotheses, right or wrong, about what's going on in that greater reality.
It's one of the distinctive oddities of quantum mechanics that (at least, according to Copenhagen) it does not present a hypothesis about what takes place between observable X taking the value x, and observable Y later taking the value y, it just presents a calculational procedure for obtaining the conditional probability Pr(Y=y|X=x).
According to QBism - if these authors have portrayed it correctly - then QM is most truly itself when the observables are private sensations (qualia) of some individual, and when every other part of reality is regarded with Copenhagenist disinterest. That is the formula they propose to use, in order to resolve all the conundra of quantum mechanics.
Technically one might object to this on the grounds that we just don't use QM in that way. In actual applications of QM, the observables are things like "the spin of the particle" or "the location of the particle"... not "my experience of the apparatus, after I cycled to the lab, unlocked the door, and sat down to check the readouts".
And I've already stated the philosophical objection - unless you're a solipsist, there is more to reality than just your private stream of experience, and an interpretation of QM needs to say something about the theory's implications for the world outside your skull. Unless you're a solipsist, exclusively focusing on private experience is just a way to evade questions, not a way to answer them.
strangerep, sorry if you experience my scorn for this outlook as a personal attack. You don't actually express your own ideas much, so I don't know your opinions. But the philosophy of this paper, when scrutinized in detail, is absurd and needs to be exposed as such. It is also pernicious to the discovery of truth, if people read a paper like this and come away thinking that various unanswered questions have been satisfactorily answered in it. That's why I say it has negative value, because it produces an illusion of conceptual progress.
P.S. As atyy has just posted, it absolutely makes sense to think of the use of QM as part of a process of Bayesian updating. My point is just that this perspective doesn't deal with an ontological problem like the nature of quantum nonlocality, and yet the headline claim of this "QBist" paper is precisely that this problem has been dissolved.