Evo said:
I believe Bob was arguing against you. Which of his points do you agree with?
No. Whenever the government tries to regulate something like this, there's problems.
Sometimes they're small and the overall program works as in low flush toilets. They were mandated in Canada before the US and Canadians used to come to the US to buy full flush toilets. Once the US restricted full flush toilets, everyone eventually had to accept them in spite of complaints about how they worked (sometimes you had to flush twice). I think most people today would wonder why low flush toilets were ever an issue. With a standard regulation, you set an even playing field and manufacturers started finding ways to make better performing flush toilets. Government regulation and a free market response. (That wouldn't support Barwick's point).
Sometimes it just doesn't work as in setting minimum fuel efficiency for passenger cars. It's infeasible to ban trucks and to set fuel efficiency standards that would prevent trucks from performing the role they have to fill. Since there had to be some exemptions, everyone suddenly decided they needed a truck - especially if their truck had 9 seats and a DVD player to keep the kids entertained. Now the fuel efficient cars just get run over by SUVs. (That would support Barwick's point.)
I think taking incandescents off the market will definitely cause more problems than even your average government program. (Which does support Barwick's point.)
Breaking one CFL bulb in your home isn't a problem. Throwing all of the CFLs in a city of a few hundred thousand into a landfill turns the landfill into a toxic waste dump. Of course, throwing all of the used batteries from a city of a few hundred thousand into a landfill also turns the landfill into a toxic waste dump, so perhaps tossing CFLs in on top of them isn't such a big deal (yes, used batteries are toxic waste, too, and you shouldn't be tossing them into your regular trash).
Plus, there has to be exemptions since CFLs can't replace incandescents in every situation. The regulations open up an entire new market combining an array of 5 or 6 40 Watt incandescent light bulbs into a very tastefully designed floor lamp or very nicely designed ceiling track lighting with 7, 8, or 10 40 Watt incandescent bulbs.
Taking incandescents off the market will also spur development of better halogen bulbs and lamps. It will also spur development of cheaper LED lighting (I personally like this option for the long term - I won't even buy a flashlight that uses incandescents any more).
Whether the overall program works long term or not is something to be determined. It probably will eventually, but banning incandescents before there's an effective replacement just seems like a real PITA for consumers.