Graduate Interpreting Poisson Regression Estimates across groups

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In the discussion on interpreting Poisson regression estimates for injury rates among firefighters, police, and soldiers, the focus is on understanding the coefficients in the model. The model uses indicators for firefighters and soldiers, with police as the baseline group. The interpretation of exp(β0) is debated; it could represent either the estimated rate of injury for an individual in the baseline group or the mean rate for the entire baseline group. Concerns are raised about potential overlap between categories, though it is clarified that the model assumes mutually exclusive groups. Ultimately, the interpretation hinges on whether the focus is on individual or group rates.
FallenApple
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Say for example I want to see the rate of injury for firefighter vs police vs soldier.

##InjuryCount_{i}## The number of injuries recorded for the ith person over time
##T_{i} ## Time the person was followed. Varies from person to person.
##I(f)_{i}## indicator for ith person of being a firefighter or not, police is baseline
##I(s)_{i}## indicator for the ith person of being a soldier or not, police is baseline

Then I would model ##log(InjuryCount_{i}/T_{i})=\beta_{0} +\beta_{1}I(f)_{i}+\beta_{2}I(s)_{i}. ##

Where the regression model is either a poisson, negative binomial, or quasi poisson.

Now how would I intepret the coefficients?

Is ##exp(\beta{0} )## the estimated rate of injury for the baseline group. Or is it the estimated mean rate for the baseline group. I'm not sure which.

If we look at individuals, then I can say that it is the estimated rate of injury for someone belonging in the baseline group.

But if I look at the group, I can say that it is the estimated mean rate for the baseline group as a whole.

Not sure which one is right.
 
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FallenApple said:
indicator for ith person of being a firefighter or not, police is baseline...
indicator for the ith person of being a soldier or not, police is baseline
Do you have subjects where the same subject is both a firefighter and a soldier?
 
Dale said:
Do you have subjects where the same subject is both a firefighter and a soldier?

No, but what might happen if there is overlap?

The way I set up the regression equation would result in log(response)=B_0+0+0 for the police(baseline group) since I suppose that would have to be the result from the categories being mutually exclusive.
 
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