Is degree of certainty a valid theory in probability?

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    Sound Theory
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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the concept of "degree of certainty" in probability, as introduced by Ion Saliu. Participants are questioning its validity and soundness, noting its absence in standard mathematical texts.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant found a reference to "degree of certainty" in a link provided but questions its validity as it is not found in their math books.
  • Another participant suggests that the term may simply refer to "probability."
  • A third participant points out that while the author uses the term "degree of certainty" and provides examples, he fails to define it clearly.
  • A later reply references a specific formula related to "degree of certainty," citing a relation from gambling theory, but does not clarify its implications.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express skepticism about the term "degree of certainty," with no consensus on its validity or definition. Multiple viewpoints remain regarding its interpretation and relevance.

Contextual Notes

The discussion highlights a lack of clear definitions and the potential ambiguity in the term "degree of certainty," which may depend on specific contexts or interpretations.

sneez
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i found this link and this guy claims there is something called degree of certainty in probability. However, it does not show up in any math book i own. is it valid theory or at least sound?

link with description: http://www.saliu.com/Saliu2.htm

sneez
 
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It looks like he just means "probability."
 
Unfortunately, while his formula involves "degree of certainty" and, in several examples, he gives the "degree of certainty", he never bothers to actually define "degree of certainty"!
 
i found degree of certainty in paragraph 4:
4. Ion Saliu's Paradox Or Problem Of N Trials
...[..]...

A step in the Fundamental Formula of Gambling leads to this relation:

DC = 1 — 1/e

The limit {1 — (1/e)} is approximately 0.63212055...
 

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