Is North Korea's missile threat overestimated?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Loren Booda
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The discussion centers around fears of nuclear attacks, particularly in the context of past tragedies like 9/11. Participants express varying degrees of concern about potential destruction in their communities, with some dismissing the likelihood of such events and emphasizing the importance of focusing on practical disaster preparedness. There is a notable contrast between the perceived threat of terrorism and everyday dangers, such as car accidents, with some arguing that media attention on 9/11 overshadowed other tragic losses. The conversation touches on the psychological impact of living with these fears and the importance of political action regarding national security, particularly concerning nuclear materials. Participants also discuss the feasibility of nuclear threats from countries like North Korea and the potential for "dirty bombs" as a more realistic concern. Overall, the dialogue reflects a mix of anxiety, resignation, and a call for rational responses to perceived threats.
  • #31
i_wish_i_was_smart said:
the CIA also said there were pictures of weapons of mass destruction in Irak
i'll believe my governement before i believe yours... no offence intended

I said it was probably an overestimate. Private groups with access to high resolution satellite imagery (especially FAS and GlobalSecurity) seem to have suggested that the DPRK missile threat was really an empty threat. Pictures seem to show that the Nodong and Taepo' dong lauch facilities are in pretty lousy shape. Moreover, both FAS and Global Security (I think both were founded by the same person, John Pike) put the Taepo' dong range at less than 5000 km. The distance from North Korea to the west coast of America is about 8000 km. But I haven't looked lately to see if they've update/revised their info.
 

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