I think that these claims are off topic here. We can talk about the statistics. But evidence for these claims would not be statistical, it would come through forensic accounting and police investigation, neither of which we do here."Your first claim is that the organisers are paying the winnings to themselves. There would be no data as such to support this."
Of course there would be data to support the accusation if they paid the winnings to themselves TOO frequently or too anomalously, it probably wouldn't be evidence good enough for court but it would be evidence good enough for us mathematically oriented guys and anyone who would care to check our calculations. Btw, it is extremely easy for the organizers to pay the winnings to themselves if they wanted to, except they wouldn't put it in their... tax return, the money would be won by a thug of theirs and laundered and spent through offshore accounts. The state could easily prevent any fraud simply by forcing them to give the police a complete list of numbers played each week, so a cop could search for the winning numbers after each draw and the organizers would not be able to subsequently add tickets which is what we are accusing them of here.
"Your second claim is that the organizers are controlling the weeks on which a win takes place."
Yes but by paying the winnings to their thugs on those weeks, I don't know why you consider this a separate claim. By the way, wins are too frequent near the 5th draw after a win (2 draws per week as I said initially but let's keep it simple and pretend it's one draw per week, a win every 5 weeks). Such a peak is expected as the amount to be won accumulates and more and more tickets are sold. But it may occur too early if not enough people play and the organizers cheat to prevent demotivation and a collapse of sales.
Let’s just stick with the statistical modeling here and not discuss fraud. Any further posts regarding fraud will be deleted.