The water is always going to have a small solubility in the kerosine. At equilibrium, the chemical potential of water in the underlying water phase, in the kerosine, and in the gas phase must all be equal. This guarantees that the partial pressure of the water in the gas phase is equal to the equilibrium vapor pressure.
The water molecules travel through the kerosine by molecular diffusion.
It doesn't matter how far away the surface is. That just determines how long it takes for the system to reach equilibrium. The molecules of water in the gas phase are exchanging with the molecules dissolved in the kerosene, and the molecules of water in the kerosene are also exchanging with the liquid water below.