MHB Modified Random Walk: Expected Duration and Recurrence Equation Analysis

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The discussion focuses on deriving a recurrence equation for the expected duration of a modified random walk by conditioning on the first step. It presents a specific equation format involving expected values and parameters represented as ˜p, ˜q, and ˜c. Participants are asked to identify these parameters in relation to the original variables p, q, and r. Additionally, there is a request for clarification on the definition of the modified random walk. The conversation emphasizes the mathematical formulation and relationships necessary for analysis.
Poirot1
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(1)Consider the expected duration of the modified random walk. Show that conditioning on the first step produces a recurrence equation of the following form.​
Ea = ˜pEa+1 + ˜qEa1 + ˜c.
(2)Clearly identify the values of ˜p, ˜q and ˜c in terms of p, q and r.
Thanks
 
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Poirot said:

(1)Consider the expected duration of the modified random walk. Show that conditioning on the first step produces a recurrence equation of the following form.​
Ea = ˜pEa+1 + ˜qEa1 + ˜c.
(2)Clearly identify the values of ˜p, ˜q and ˜c in terms of p, q and r.
Thanks


Please post the entire question, in particular the definition of your modified random walk

CB
 
There is a nice little variation of the problem. The host says, after you have chosen the door, that you can change your guess, but to sweeten the deal, he says you can choose the two other doors, if you wish. This proposition is a no brainer, however before you are quick enough to accept it, the host opens one of the two doors and it is empty. In this version you really want to change your pick, but at the same time ask yourself is the host impartial and does that change anything. The host...

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