Multiplying Normal Distributions: Rules & Examples

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the multiplication and addition of independent normal distributions, specifically addressing the rules and implications of combining such distributions. Participants explore the mathematical relationships between probabilities of independent events and the resulting distributions.

Discussion Character

  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant states that for two independent normal distributions, the sum of their probabilities is equal to the product of their probabilities, which is challenged by others.
  • Another participant clarifies that the sum of two independent normal random variables results in a normal distribution with a mean equal to the sum of the means and a variance equal to the sum of the variances.
  • A further reply suggests that the original statement might have intended to express the joint probability of two events rather than their product.
  • Participants discuss the general rule for combining probabilities of independent events, emphasizing the need for conditional probabilities when independence is not assumed.
  • One participant interprets the notation used by the original poster as referring to random variables rather than events or intervals, indicating a potential misunderstanding of the question's intent.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

There is disagreement regarding the interpretation of the original statement about probabilities and the correct approach to combining normal distributions. Participants have differing views on whether the question pertains to the product of distributions or the joint probability of events.

Contextual Notes

Some assumptions about the notation and terminology used by participants may not be fully aligned, leading to confusion in the discussion. The implications of independence and conditional probabilities are also highlighted but remain unresolved in terms of their application to the original question.

chota
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Hi say I have two "independent" Normal distributions,

S ~ N(0,3^2) and D~(0,2^2)

since I know that S and D are indpendent then

P(S ) + P(D) = P(S)P(D)

however we know they are both normal distributed so I amm just wondering what the general rule is for multiplying two normal distributions
thanks
 
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I'm not sure what you mean by

<br /> P(S) + P(D) = P(S) P(D)<br />

Are you trying to say that when normal random variables are added, the resulting random variable is their product? Not true.

If

<br /> \begin{align*}<br /> S &amp; \sim n(\mu_S, \sigma^2_S)\\<br /> D &amp; \sim n(\mu_D, \sigma^2_D)<br /> \end{align*}<br />

and they are independent, then the sum S + D is normal, with mean

<br /> \mu_S + \mu_D<br />

and variance

<br /> \sigma^2_S + \sigma^2_D<br />

A similar result is true even if the two variables have non-zero correlation (the formula for the variance of the sum involves the correlation).

If by 'product' P(S) P(D) you mean the convolution of the distributions, you could go through that work, but it leads you to the same result I quoted above.
 
chota said:
... since I know that S and D are indpendent then

P(S ) + P(D) = P(S)P(D)

I'm guessing you meant to say

P(S & D) = P(S)P(D)

where "S" here really means a statement along the lines of "S lies between A and B", and similarly for "D".
 
For events A and B, normally distributed or not, P(A&B)= P(A)P(B|A)= P(B)P(B|A) where P(A|B) and P(B|A) are the "conditional probabilities" : P(A|B) is "the probability that A will happen given that B happened" and P(B|A) is "the probability that B will happen given that A happened".

IF the A and B are independent then P(A|B)= P(A) and P(B|A)= P(B) so you just multiply the separate probabilities. If they are not independent, just knowing the probabilities of each separately is not enough. You must know at least one of P(A|B), P(B|A) or P(A&B) separately from the individual probabilities.
 
I answered as I did because

  • the OP used S, D in his notation, and I took these as the names of the random variables rather than any interval or event.
  • I took the question to mean he was asking how to combine normal distributions rather than calculate any particular probability
 

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