Pacific Palisades Fire Threatening Santa Monica, California

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A significant wildfire is threatening Santa Monica, driven by intense Santa Ana winds with gusts reaching up to 100 mph. Evacuations are underway, affecting around 180,000 people, and reports indicate that 10 confirmed deaths and thousands of structures have been lost. The fire is exacerbated by extremely dry conditions, with less than a quarter inch of rain since July, and the region is experiencing one of its driest winters on record. Firefighting efforts are complicated by the terrain and the high winds, which hinder direct firefighting tactics. Some areas have reported fire hydrants running dry due to power outages affecting water pumping stations, raising concerns about emergency preparedness. The situation is dire, with multiple fires burning simultaneously and no containment in sight for several. The community is rallying support for evacuees and firefighters, while discussions around the effectiveness of firefighting strategies and infrastructure preparedness continue. The total damage from the fires is estimated to be between $135 billion and $150 billion.
  • #51
I think we can agree, that there's a difference between "shutting off power" and "shutting off power to the fire pumps." Especially in light of the statement that the fire pumps have their own generators.

@berkeman makes a good point about not rushing to conclusions.
 
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  • #53
fresh_42 said:
Maybe that would need a closer look at aspects like plantings, constructions, and so on. CNN also showed a map of the Palisades fire that abruptly stopped in a straight line at the county border. So much to their reliability. Or the one south of it, I don't remember exactly. I just wondered about that straight.
I was thinking the factors that drive the drought may also play a role affecting the course of the fire. For example, a mountain ridge or a change in elevation could be factors. Said another way, topology could have played a role in both cases.
 
  • #54
gmax137 said:
I think we can agree, that there's a difference between "shutting off power" and "shutting off power to the fire pumps." Especially in light of the statement that the fire pumps have their own generators.

@berkeman makes a good point about not rushing to conclusions.
And I doubt we are talking about one district. There may be many examples of failures for many reasons.
 
  • #55
berkeman said:
I can say from personal experience that when a firefighting engine hooks up to a hydrant in a neighborhood to start pumping water, that the pressure to normal water outlets (like me fighting the neighborhood home fire with a garden hose) tanks to nothing. So it's reasonable that at higher elevations with multiple taps into the water system that the pressure would drop enough to starve those higher hydrants.
Rats, I just saw a FF chief interviewed tonight on the "ABC World New Tonight" TV broadcast that said another contributing factor was apartment buildings and businesses in the area with sprinkler systems that had those systems compromised by the intensity of the fire, which resulted in large leaks at each of those sites.
 
  • #56
Ivan Seeking said:
And I doubt we are talking about one district. There may be many examples of failures for many reasons.
Topology is the central key since it explains Santa Ana and windspeed. But the hair dryer effect sounded reasonable to me. South California is dry compared to other regions in any case. The flying sparks are a problem if they land in an urban area whether there was rain in October or not.
 
  • #57
"The part needed to repair the damaged CL-415 aircraft assisting in the firefighting efforts in Los Angeles is on its way. De Havilland Canada remains on standby 24/7 to support crews and keep the fleet flying."

473168484_1132214982244902_5354623958094954460_n.jpg

Posted just an hour ago over on Facebook. If that's the most complex part needed to make the repair, then the goal of being airborne on Monday will be doable, imo. With a little luck, maybe even Sunday.
 
  • #58
Ivan Seeking said:
This is looking like a potential catastrophe. Right now the fire is only about five miles from Santa Monica (a major city) and wind gusts as high as 80 mph are expected. This is being driven by the Santa Ana Winds, which are notorious for creating extremely dangerous fire conditions with hot, dry winds that often reach as much as 100 mph.

Parts of Santa Monica are now being evacuated.

View attachment 355499
https://www.latimes.com/california/live/pacific-palisades-fire-updates-los-angeles
Absolutely terrifying for all involved. When I compare the area of just one of the fires to where I live, all of metropolitan Detroit would be gon we.
 
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  • #59
hypatia said:
Absolutely terrifying for all involved. When I compare the area of just one of the fires to where I live, all of metropolitan Detroit would be gon we.
Hello Hypatia! Very long time no see. :)

The scale of this is going to take time to sink in. Insurance CEOs are probably having heart attacks.
 
  • #61
gmax137 said:
I think we can agree, that there's a difference between "shutting off power" and "shutting off power to the fire pumps." Especially in light of the statement that the fire pumps have their own generators.

@berkeman makes a good point about not rushing to conclusions.
Yeah, I was thinking that too. Water supply is one of those things that "has to work" and not be affected by a power failure. In buildings the backup fire pump is diesel powered(not diesel generator powered) and I'd expect both domestic water and fire main pumps to have such a backup.

More likely cause of low flow/pressure:
-Lots of people drawing water from the system.
-Broken pipes.
 
  • #62
Flyboy said:
Not really. There’s lots of reports of then canceling coverage starting months ago, and unconfirmed reports of people getting their coverage cancelled during the evacuations.

https://www.abc10.com/article/news/local/ca-insurance-commissioner-addresses-homeowners-policy-cancellations/10103-e3f2f83e-ed87-432a-b4a4-a6cec2239256#
Insurance is a binding contract and can't be cancelled, only declined to renew. How long is a typical insurance term, a year? So, 2% get their renewal notice in the mail every week(with a month or two notice), and if the insurance provider is declining to renew, that's what they get instead. No doubt for some people the lapse date happened during the evacuations. It sucks, but it isn't "canceling during the evacuations".
 
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  • #64
Ivan Seeking said:

US weather service estimates total Los Angeles fire damage between $135-150 billion so far

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/united-st...ween-135-150-billion-so-far_6736927_133.html#
I have heard that figure even when CNN still spoke about 30 or so. They also mentioned celebrities a lot (Paris Hilton, Mel Gibson, etc.) However, it's the normal people I share my thoughts and sadness with, not rich people who suffered a loss they can probably far more easily recover from than ordinary people who lost everything.
 
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  • #65
fresh_42 said:
It's not as if Spain wouldn't know the situation!
Maybe the landscape fires - but do this kind of whole cities razed to ground happen to Spain? Old houses are unfired brick/adobe if poor, fired brick or (unreinforced) masonry when rich. What are the new houses in Spain resorts like? Hollow cinder block masonry? Concrete?
Unreinforced masonry is worse than wood in earthquakes. How do stone houses respond to landscape/neighbouring house fires? I suppose that heat radiation might overheat window panes and cause them to shatter from thermal stress... wooden doors catching fire from same reason... adobe, masonry and concrete cracking and spalling from surface, limestone burning to lime, but that takes well over 500 Celsius...
Still, when houses are standing alone in a field of ashes, how did they get the water to protect it? Or was it simply fireproof construction - sparks landing on roof and walls have nothing to ignite, and windows and doors small and well protected?
 
  • #66
Ivan Seeking said:
US weather service estimates total Los Angeles fire damage between $135-150 billion so far
Fire insurance in California was already getting very expensive. I know a number of people in Northern Cali who have dropped their fire insurance because they simply can't afford it. I've heard fire premiums going from $2,000 a few years ago to 6,000 or more this year. Some just accept the risk, others have installed water tanks (two or three 5,000 gallon tanks) with a small engine-driven fire pump so they can keep their roofs wet.
 
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  • #68
gmax137 said:
Fire insurance in California was already getting very expensive. I know a number of people in Northern Cali who have dropped their fire insurance because they simply can't afford it. I've heard fire premiums going from $2,000 a few years ago to 6,000 or more this year. Some just accept the risk, others have installed water tanks (two or three 5,000 gallon tanks) with a small engine-driven fire pump so they can keep their roofs wet.
Smerconish had an interesting take on things this morning. He said capitalism and environmentalism have typically been at odds with each other in that environmentalism can be expensive and halt economic progress. But now climate change is having a significant economic impact and, from floods to droughts to fires, the insurance companies are responding. Perhaps we are seeing the first cases of major economic changes due to the environment. The current trends would exclude all but the rich from living in many areas.
 
  • #69
In the mean time, the winds in the Palisades are expected to blow East, towards Brentwood and Belair - more very exclusive areas - with gusts up to 40 mph tonight.
 
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  • #70
One evacuee said when they tried to find a place to rent, already rent prices were hyperinflated. But today the Governor said they are making price gouging illegal. Still, where will everyone go? There is already a housing shortage.
 
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  • #71
I just saw a woman interviewed who still lives in Paradise Ca. She said before the fire, her fire insurance was about $500 year. Now they want between $20,000 and $30,000 a year for fire insurance that does not provide good coverage.
 
  • #72
 
  • #73
Today's (Sunday, Jan.12, 2025) LA Times headline:

Fire battle shifts to new front
Change in wind prompts evacuations in Brentwood, Encino, Tarzana

Some excerpts from the article:
Why water ran out as crisis raged
The water system that supplies neighborhoods simply doesn't have the capacity to deliver such large volums of water over several hours, said Martin Adams, former general manager of the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power "The system has never been designed to fight a wildfire that then envelops a community..."
|
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referring to the Eaton fire:
Pasadena fire chief Chad Augustin said having dozens of fire engines battling multiple fires resulted in overuse of the water system. "On top of that, we had a loss of power temporarily," he said, which affected the system Wednesday. (After a major fire in 1993 when the power failed, they installed backup generators at all of their pumping stations.)
|
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The manager of the Altadena Water district, Tom Majich:
"To fight a wildfire, you have to have Lake Havasu behind you. You could fill a Rose Bowl with water and it wouldn't be enough. There's not a system that can do it."

From memory, another statement I ran across but can't find at the moment said:
City neighborhood water systems are designed to handle the daily usage of our customers and a building fire or two. We had 4 times the normal usage for 15 hours. (If i recall correctly, that emptied 2 large reservoirs, a third reservoir had been drained for needed repairs.)
[EDIT: for clarification/correction, see: https://www.physicsforums.com/threa...monica-california.1067975/page-3#post-7144495[/EDIT]

Another comment I ran across:
The fire spread so fast because "...high winds were carrying burning embers one to three miles beyond the fireline."

Well, that's the hot news from Sunny Southern California today.

Remember that "Smokey the Bear" says: "Only you can prevent forest fires."
. . . Well, maybe. 😟

Tom
 
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  • #74
Ivan Seeking said:
I just saw a woman interviewed who still lives in Paradise Ca. She said before the fire, her fire insurance was about $500 year. Now they want between $20,000 and $30,000 a year for fire insurance that does not provide good coverage.
This is climate change, is it not? Places that previously were habitable will no longer be so. I saw a quotation from a climate scientist saying something like "2025 will be one of the coldest years this century - enjoy it while it lasts." Unless there is a something of a miracle, this can only get worse.
 
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  • #75
PeroK said:
This is climate change, is it not?
What makes you think that? IMO, it is overbuilding inadequately designed housing in the steep canyons. In an area well known for fires and high winds. The winds are so frequent, and so high, and so dry, that they even have a name.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Ana_winds said:
Santa Ana winds originate from high-pressure airmasses over the Great Basin and upper Mojave Desert. Any low-pressure area over the Pacific Ocean, off the coast of California, can change the stability of the Great Basin High, causing a pressure gradient that turns the synoptic scale winds southward down the eastern side of the Sierra Nevada and into the Southern California region.[9]
...
The Santa Ana winds and the accompanying raging wildfires have been a part of the ecosystem of the Los Angeles Basin for over 5,000 years, dating back to the earliest habitation of the region by the Tongva and Tataviam peoples.[22]
...
22. Rutten, Tim (October 15, 2000). "L.A., land of fire -- always". Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on 2011-06-06. Retrieved 2013-05-03.

EDIT:
Have a look at the first "similar thread" below
https://www.physicsforums.com/threa...ence-wildfires-in-southern-california.193170/
 
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  • #76
gmax137 said:
What makes you think that? IMO, it is overbuilding inadequately designed housing in the steep canyons. In an area well known for fires and high winds. The winds are so frequent, and so high, and so dry, that they even have a name.



EDIT:
Have a look at the first "similar thread" below
https://www.physicsforums.com/threa...ence-wildfires-in-southern-california.193170/
They are in a serious drought - esp the areas that burned. Excessive and abnormally heavy rains last year and almost none this year. So everything that grew from all rain died and was just tinder.

They have been in a super drought for over 20 years.
 
  • #77
  • California has become increasingly dry since 1895. From 2012 to 2016, California experienced the most severe drought on record: thirteen of the 30 driest months on record occurred during this period.
  • Except for brief wet periods in the 2017 and 2019 water years, drought conditions have largely persisted through 2021 and 2022.
https://oehha.ca.gov/climate-change...me increasingly dry since 1895.,-A three-year
 
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  • #78
gmax137 said:
What makes you think that? IMO, it is overbuilding inadequately designed housing in the steep canyons. In an area well known for fires and high winds. The winds are so frequent, and so high, and so dry, that they even have a name.
Very little, if anything, is going to happen in the next few years that couldn't have happened in the past. It's the increased frequency and severity of these extreme events that is the key factor that makes me think that. Especially as this was the predicted result of climate change.
 
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  • #79
PeroK said:
This is climate change, is it not?
No, it is not. It has always been a characteristic of this area and will remain so. Among all possible such events, you will occasionally observe a severe one if several things happen at the same time. If at all, then climate change lowers the risk of wildfires in LA since a warming Pacific means a smaller difference in air temperature between the desert and the ocean which is responsible for the Santa Ana winds which in turn are responsible for the fires.

Climate change only affects the duration and number of droughts. However, flying sparks from an existing normal fire is a concern in an urban area whether there was rain a month ago or not. We shouldn't allow climate change to be the killer argument for anything. Sometimes, it is simple topography.
 
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  • #80
fresh_42 said:
We shouldn't allow climate change to be the killer argument for anything.
Precisely the extreme events (and their increased frequency and severity) isn't just "anything". This is what was predicted.
 
  • #81
PeroK said:
increased frequency and severity
Any data supporting "increased frequency"? Especially in light of this:
https://www.nps.gov/articles/wildfire-causes-and-evaluation.htm said:
Nearly 85 percent* of wildland fires in the United States are caused by humans. Human-caused fires result from campfires left unattended, the burning of debris, equipment use and malfunctions, negligently discarded cigarettes, and intentional acts of arson.

*Source: 2000-2017 data based on Wildland Fire Management Information (WFMI) and U.S. Forest Service Research Data Archive

Along with the population increase in the Los Angeles metro area, 4 million in 1950, nearly 13 million today. (https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/23052/los-angeles/population)

So, roughly three times as many people to start fires, and three times as many dwellings to burn.
 
  • #82
gmax137 said:
Any data supporting "increased frequency"? Especially in light of this:


Along with the population increase in the Los Angeles metro area, 4 million in 1950, nearly 13 million today. (https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/23052/los-angeles/population)

So, roughly three times as many people to start fires, and three times as many dwellings to burn.
Here are three reputable sources who disagree with your analysis:

https://www.c2es.org/content/wildfires-and-climate-change/

https://www.edf.org/climate/heres-how-climate-change-affects-wildfires

https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/v...wildfires-and-air-pollution-has-major-impacts
 
  • #83
Just to pick out the key point:

But climate change also has an indirect role by increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and prolonging drought. These conditions heighten the risk and likelihood of forest fires spreading, which in turn has a major impact on air quality.
 
  • #84
Thank you @PeroK
I am not a climate change denier, and I have no doubt that overall increasing temperatures and less rainfall will lead to a higher risk of wildfires. I'm just saying that pointing to the ongoing fires in LA and saying "see? climate change!" is not helpful. There are plenty of conditions in that region that share some blame in the scope of these fires. I don't think that fixating on climate change will lead to any improvement in the future.

From the first link, the trend (1984 - 2011) in "Mediterranean California" (the coast including the Los Angeles basin) is fewer large fires. It would be nice to have more up to date data like this.

med_cali.jpg


And their first three recommendations to "Build Resilience" line up with my previous comment "overbuilding inadequately designed housing in the steep canyons. In an area well known for fires and high winds"

How to Build Resilience
  • Communities, builders, homeowners, and forest managers can reduce the likelihood and impacts of wildfires by:
    • Discouraging developments (especially residential) near fire-prone forests through smart zoning rules.
    • Increasing the space between structures and nearby trees and brush, and clearing space between neighboring houses.
    • Incorporating fire-resistant design features and materials in buildings.
    • Increasing resources allocated to firefighting and fire prevention.
    • Removing fuels, such as dead trees, from forests that are at risk.
    • Developing recovery plans before a fire hits, and implementing plans quickly after a fire to reduce erosion, limit flooding, and minimize habitat damage.
    • The Climate Mapping for Resilience and Adaptation portal helps communities understand and plan for their climate risks today and in the future, including a real-time map of wildfire, drought, flooding, and extreme heat across the United States.
 
  • #85
gmax137 said:
Thank you @PeroK
I am not a climate change denier, and I have no doubt that overall increasing temperatures and less rainfall will lead to a higher risk of wildfires. I'm just saying that pointing to the ongoing fires in LA and saying "see? climate change!" is not helpful.
Perhaps not, but how can it be helpful to say that climate change has nothing to do with it? Nature cannot be fooled.
 
  • #86
Tom.G said:
If i recall correctly, that emptied 2 large reservoirs
Citation please. It's nearly impossible to drain a large reservoir in a few days.
 
  • #87
Ivan Seeking said:
I just saw a woman interviewed who still lives in Paradise Ca. She said before the fire, her fire insurance was about $500 year. Now they want between $20,000 and $30,000 a year for fire insurance that does not provide good coverage.

This sounds like a passive aggressive way of saying, "We can't legally deny you coverage, so we're going to make it prohibitively expensive." From a logic standpoint does this even make sense? After a wildfire has burnt most of the fuel in an area you'd think fire insurance would go down.

California should just work on burying all their powerlines, especially if they aren't designed with frequent? Santa Ana winds in mind. I guess then you just have to worry about earthquakes, but thats what conduit is for right...
 
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  • #88
PeroK said:
Perhaps not, but how can it be helpful to say that climate change has nothing to do with it? Nature cannot be fooled.
I think the issue is with the link being a category error. People will complain about those things.
It's the same kind of mistake as with pinning any particularly hot day on global warming (or a cold one on lack thereof). Or with e.g. any single large wave on the rising tide, or a car crash fatality on the global increase in car ownership.
So, in the latter example, (let's assume) it's fair to say that having more cars in the world will cause more car-related deaths globally. But saying that any particular death was the result of there being more cars, or wouldn't happen if there were fewer, is problematic.
Causes of individual events should be assessed on individual basis, with more granularity than general trends. There might or might not be a direct link or a contribution, but it shouldn't be assumed with a broad stroke - even as everyone agrees that the general trend is there.
 
  • #89
QuarkyMeson said:
California should just work on burying all their powerlines
They made the point of saying they are doing just that, in the same report about Paradise.

Only about 30% of the town has returned.
 
  • #90
Bandersnatch said:
I think the issue is with the link being a category error. People will complain about those things.
It's the same kind of mistake as with pinning any particularly hot day on global warming (or a cold one on lack thereof). Or with e.g. any single large wave on the rising tide, or a car crash fatality on the global increase in car ownership.
So, in the latter example, (let's assume) it's fair to say that having more cars in the world will cause more car-related deaths globally. But saying that any particular death was the result of there being more cars, or wouldn't happen if there were fewer, is problematic.
Causes of individual events should be assessed on individual basis, with more granularity than general trends. There might or might not be a direct link or a contribution, but it shouldn't be assumed with a broad stroke - even as everyone agrees that the general trend is there.
This is a decades long drought.

1736812698052.png
 
  • #91
They are expecting gusts up to 70 mph again and have issued a most severe fire alert for much of the LA basin. It looks like one area where I lived may get hit.
 
  • #93
How was your day at work?

1736817298445.png
 
  • #94
DaveE said:
Citation please. It's nearly impossible to drain a large reservoir in a few days.
"Reservoir" in this case is not being used in the typical sense of "large, artificial lake" and is being used in the technical term of "liquid storage structure"

https://www.nbcnews.com/weather/wildfires/california-fire-water-tanks-went-dry-palisades-rcna186860

The volumes involved are large for water storage tanks in the region, but are not what people think of when you say "large reservoir".

That said, even with something the size of a large lake, it sounds like water delivery was a major issue, as noted above, alongside the admission that the water supply infrastructure is simply not designed for this kind of scenario:

Tom.G said:
The manager of the Altadena Water district, Tom Majich:
"To fight a wildfire, you have to have Lake Havasu behind you. You could fill a Rose Bowl with water and it wouldn't be enough. There's not a system that can do it."

From memory, another statement I ran across but can't find at the moment said:
City neighborhood water systems are designed to handle the daily usage of our customers and a building fire or two. We had 4 times the normal usage for 15 hours. (If i recall correctly, that emptied 2 large reservoirs, a third reservoir had been drained for needed repairs.)

This one's gonna burn until the winds die down and/or they get a decent rain storm through the region, probably both.

Tom.G said:
The fire spread so fast because "...high winds were carrying burning embers one to three miles beyond the fireline."
Ahhhh, spotfires. The biggest reason for fires to spread so quickly, especially into an urban environment. Part of why keeping your gutters clean is so important... a dirty gutter grows more than just weeds.
 
  • #95
Flyboy said:
Ahhhh, spotfires. The biggest reason for fires to spread so quickly, especially into an urban environment. Part of why keeping your gutters clean is so important... a dirty gutter grows more than just weeds.
It has been reported that embers often entered homes through their vents, such as the attic vents This is how many fires spread from home to home.

Firemen noticed that fires were often starting from the insides of houses. That is why.
 
  • #96
Yep.

I grew up in Sacramento, CA, so although we never faced immediate threat from the fires, it was certainly an ever-present part of the background of life. Hearing and seeing the tankers lumbering (and later screaming as they switched from props to jets) out of McClellan, the plumes of pyrocumulous on the eastern horizon, the grey skies and reddened sun, the occasional ashfall from nearby fires, the convoys of hi-viz yellow/green wildland fire trucks headed along the freeways… it’s an integral part of my youth. I don’t miss it much, but there’s times I do miss it.

Namely when staring at a brewing supercell thunderstorm when conditions are ripe for tornadoes, but that’s Iowa living for you. 😆
 
  • #97
QuarkyMeson said:
California should just work on burying all their powerlines
1) We are. But it's a HUGE project.
2) Do you have any idea how big and populous California is? How big the distribution network is?
3) Where will the money come from to do this faster than the present rate?

Thanks for your help. We knew that many years ago.

https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/industries-...eliability/undergrounding-program-description
 
  • #98
gmax137 said:
Thank you @PeroK
I am not a climate change denier, and I have no doubt that overall increasing temperatures and less rainfall will lead to a higher risk of wildfires. I'm just saying that pointing to the ongoing fires in LA and saying "see? climate change!" is not helpful. There are plenty of conditions in that region that share some blame in the scope of these fires. I don't think that fixating on climate change will lead to any improvement in the future.

From the first link, the trend (1984 - 2011) in "Mediterranean California" (the coast including the Los Angeles basin) is fewer large fires. It would be nice to have more up to date data like this.

View attachment 355787

And their first three recommendations to "Build Resilience" line up with my previous comment "overbuilding inadequately designed housing in the steep canyons. In an area well known for fires and high winds"
I see one obvious reason why increasing temperatures and less rainfall might lead to a lower risk of wildfires in some regions - especially parts of Southern California.
Fire requires plants - dry plants.
Biomass requires rainfall to grow.
In regions quite near Southern California, like Mojave Desert and Baja California, the vegetation is simply too sparse to propagate fire even if dry. Therefore no wildfires.
Less rainfall and higher temperatures in Southern California might make South California too dry for wildfires - forests and scrub capable of burning die in droughts or due to droughts are unable to grow back after fire. Therefore no more fires.
Where in South California is the highest risk of fire? And which side of that maximum is Santa Monica on? Could a moderate decrease of rainfall make Santa Monica a desert and prevent further fires?
 
  • #99
DaveE said:
1) We are. But it's a HUGE project.
2) Do you have any idea how big and populous California is? How big the distribution network is?
3) Where will the money come from to do this faster than the present rate?

Thanks for your help. We knew that many years ago.

https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/industries-...eliability/undergrounding-program-description


2.) The wildfire risk in California doesn't encompass the entire state; it’s likely closer to a quarter of it. According to CalGov, there are 25,000 miles of transmission lines and estimates there are 250,000 miles of distribution lines. Distribution lines are the most likely to cause wildfires, so we'll focus on those.

The average cost to bury a distribution line in California is conservatively estimated at $2 million per mile. To bury the entire distribution network across the state would cost approximately $500 billion. The source you provided states that 33% of the distribution network is already underground, leaving about $330 billion to bury the rest.

If we assume that only 25% of the remaining above-ground distribution network is in areas at risk of wildfire and high winds, the cost to bury that portion drops to roughly $82 billion. That’s comparable to what California spends annually on its K-12 education system or its health and human services agencies. Sounds like a lot, right?

3.) California has received approximately $60 billion from the federal infrastructure bill. The total state government budget is around $300 billion, while Los Angeles alone has a budget of about $24 billion. Southern Edison has roughly $3 billion in credit lines.

It is the responsibility of state and local governments to manage and provide safe infrastructure. There is plenty of money that could be reallocated from pet projects (LA has a budget of something like 1.3 billion alone to "fight" homelessness) to ensure the safety of infrastructure, reducing the risk of fatalities caused by poor design, like this: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/us/california-fires-la-power.html
The utility, he said, is upgrading to equipment that withstands 80 m.p.h., but data “strongly implies that older poles and conductors were failing at less than 80 m.p.h.” during this week’s wind storms. The Santa Ana winds that have whipped Los Angeles this week have reached speeds of around 100 m.p.h.

In response to questions about its response, the department of water and power acknowledged that it did not cut power in advance of the fires in the city despite the wind speeds.

That alone is almost 100% likely to result in a large settlement.

All in all, I was simply making an observation that they should hurry up and find the money, not trying to prescribe the cure. Everyone knows this already. Otherwise, people keep needlessly dying while the goverment and power companies keep gettin sued. It doesn't benefit anyone.
 
  • #100
QuarkyMeson said:
If we assume that only 25% of the remaining above-ground distribution network is in areas at risk of wildfire and high winds, the cost to bury that portion drops to roughly $82 billion. That’s comparable to what California spends annually on its K-12 education system or its health and human services agencies. Sounds like a lot, right?
This group of fires alone may exceed that:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c07g73p4805o
 
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