Predictions for the Nobel Prize in Physics 2025 (results: John Clarke, Michel H. Devoret and John M. Martinis)

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around predictions for the Nobel Prize in Physics for 2025, with participants sharing their thoughts on potential candidates and the criteria that might influence the selection. The scope includes theoretical contributions, advancements in quantum computing, and notable achievements in various fields of physics.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants reference previous predictions for the 2024 Nobel Prize that did not materialize, including notable figures in quantum computing and materials science.
  • Domenico Fuoco's prediction includes John Martinis and Jianwei Pan for their contributions to quantum computing.
  • There is speculation about the potential for topological qubits to be recognized, with some participants expressing skepticism about their current existence and Microsoft's claims.
  • Discussion includes the possibility of Lene Hau winning for her work on slow light, possibly alongside others in related fields.
  • Some participants suggest that recent trends indicate the Nobel Prize may not always be awarded strictly for physics-related work.
  • Clarivate's predictions for 2025 include candidates for wavelet theory and contributions to quantum computing, with commentary on the likelihood of these candidates winning.
  • Predictions from various sources include longstanding favorites like Yakir Aharonov and Michael Berry, as well as newer candidates like Hidetoshi Katori and Jun Ye for their work on optical lattice clocks.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of predictions and opinions, with no clear consensus on who will win the prize. Multiple competing views and candidates are presented, indicating an unresolved discussion.

Contextual Notes

Some predictions rely on the evolving nature of scientific contributions and the criteria for Nobel recognition, which may not align with traditional expectations. The accuracy of prediction models, such as those from Clarivate, is also questioned.

  • #31
Martinis press conference at UC Santa Barbara:
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #32
UC Berkeley press with John Clarke
 
  • #33
And the last one:
 
  • #34
pines-demon said:
Interesting the first prediction from May 2025, got it partially right!
He also correctly predicted Yaghi in Chemistry!
 
  • #35
Nobel lectures
 
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  • #36
(was streamed LIVE: )
The laureates of 2025 Nobel prizes in physics hold lectures

The laureates of the 2025 Nobel prizes in physics, John Clarke, Michel H. Devoret and John M. Martinis hold lectures on their work ahead of the Nobel prize ceremony on December 10. -Reuters
 
  • #37
robphy said:
(was streamed LIVE: )
The laureates of 2025 Nobel prizes in physics hold lectures

See post before yours.
 
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  • #38
pines-demon said:
See post before yours.
Strange… when I posted, the last post was from October. I’m usually pretty good at referencing previous posts… or avoiding reposting current events. Apologies.

(Things have strange the last few days. I had to log back into my account on different devices. Maybe I have to manually-refresh old pages or else clear my cookies.)
 

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