Discussion Overview
The thread discusses predictions for the outcome of the presidential election, focusing on who participants believe will win, along with estimates for the electoral college and popular vote percentages. The scope includes speculative reasoning and personal opinions rather than political debate.
Discussion Character
- Exploratory
- Debate/contested
Main Points Raised
- Some participants suggest Trump will win, citing parallels with Brexit as a factor influencing their predictions.
- Others propose including a voting mechanism in the original post to facilitate predictions.
- Several participants suggest specific electoral college votes and popular vote percentages for Hillary Clinton, with estimates ranging from 286 to 335 electoral votes.
- One participant presents a scenario where the election could result in a tie, leading to a decision by the House of Representatives, highlighting uncertainty about the outcome.
- There are repeated calls for participants to include their guesses for both electoral votes and popular vote percentages.
Areas of Agreement / Disagreement
Participants express a variety of predictions with no consensus on the likely winner, as multiple competing views remain regarding both candidates and their expected electoral outcomes.
Contextual Notes
Participants express uncertainty regarding the accuracy of polls and potential biases, which may influence their predictions. There are also assumptions about state outcomes that are not universally agreed upon.
Who May Find This Useful
Individuals interested in political forecasting, election analysis, or those following the presidential election may find this discussion relevant.
