Probabilities involving Mins and Maxes

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the calculation of probabilities involving the minimum and maximum of two independent random variables, X and Y. It is established that P(Max(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1)P(Y < 1) for independent variables. For the minimum, the correct formulation is P(Min(X, Y) < t) = 1 - P(X >= t)P(Y >= t), which simplifies to P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B) for independent events A and B. The concept of order statistics is highlighted as essential for understanding these calculations.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability theory, specifically independent random variables.
  • Familiarity with the concepts of maximum and minimum distributions.
  • Knowledge of order statistics and their applications.
  • Ability to manipulate probability formulas, including union and intersection of events.
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the concept of order statistics in depth, including its applications in probability distributions.
  • Learn about the derivation and application of P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B).
  • Explore the implications of independence in probability calculations involving multiple random variables.
  • Investigate more complex scenarios involving order statistics, such as calculating probabilities for the second largest value in a sample.
USEFUL FOR

This discussion is beneficial for statisticians, data scientists, and anyone involved in probability theory who seeks to deepen their understanding of random variables and their distributions, particularly in the context of order statistics.

muzihc
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I know for sure that P(Max(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1)P(Y < 1) if the two RVs are independent, but what does P(Min(X, Y) < 1) equal?

Would it be P(Min(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1) + P(Y < 1)?

Thanks
 
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muzihc said:
what does P(Min(X, Y) < 1) equal?
Would it be P(Min(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1) + P(Y < 1)?
The probability of "X < 1 or Y < 1" involves the union of two sets. Have you sudied the formula for P(A \cup B) ?
 
muzihc said:
I know for sure that P(Max(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1)P(Y < 1) if the two RVs are independent, but what does P(Min(X, Y) < 1) equal?

Would it be P(Min(X, Y) < 1) = P(X < 1) + P(Y < 1)?

Thanks

Hey muzihc and welcome to the forums.

Have you ever come across order statistics?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_statistic
 
Hi,

I've studied P(A or B) = P(A U B) - I had a class in probability/statistics. I've never formally studied order statistics, though maybe I've overlapped with it at some point.

The maximum case is kind of intuitive - if the max is less than t, everything else is. We can treat it as P(A and B), in the independent case. On the other hand, if the minimum is less than t, the other random variable isn't necessarily.

I guess we could use P(Min(X, Y) < t) = 1 - P(Min(X, Y) >= t), in which case I assume it's 1 - P(X >= t)P(Y >= t).
 
muzihc said:
Hi,

I've studied P(A or B) = P(A U B) - I had a class in probability/statistics. I've never formally studied order statistics, though maybe I've overlapped with it at some point.

The maximum case is kind of intuitive - if the max is less than t, everything else is. We can treat it as P(A and B), in the independent case. On the other hand, if the minimum is less than t, the other random variable isn't necessarily.

I guess we could use P(Min(X, Y) < t) = 1 - P(Min(X, Y) >= t), in which case I assume it's 1 - P(X >= t)P(Y >= t).

Hey muzihc.

Take a look at order statistics. Order statistics helps you calculate the distribution of the minimum and maximum of a value given the number of samples that you have. It will help you in the first part of your question.
 
muzihc said:
I've studied P(A or B) = P(A U B) - I had a class in probability/statistics.

Let A = the events where X < t [/itex]
Let B = the events where Y < t [/itex]

P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

So for independent events A and B

P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A) P(B)


I guess we could use P(Min(X, Y) < t) = 1 - P(Min(X, Y) >= t), in which case I assume it's 1 - P(X >= t)P(Y >= t).

I agree.

1 - (1 - P(A)) (1-P(B)) = 1 - (1 - P(A) - P(B) + P(A)P(B)) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B)

As chiro says, "order statistics" are the topic you should study if you want to tackle more complicated versions of the situation. For example: "In a sample of 4 values drawn from 4 independent random variables A,B,C,D, what is the probability that the second largest value is less than 1?"
 

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