Probability distribution: Estimate the size of the fox population

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on estimating the size of a fox population using a tagging method. With 200 tagged foxes and 14 tagged individuals observed in 100 sightings, the estimated population is calculated using the formula (200 x 100 / 14), resulting in an estimated population of 1,429 foxes. Participants confirm the accuracy of this estimation by noting that 200 represents approximately 14% of the total population, aligning with the calculated figure.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of basic statistics and probability concepts
  • Familiarity with population estimation techniques
  • Knowledge of tagging methods in wildlife studies
  • Ability to perform simple mathematical calculations
NEXT STEPS
  • Research wildlife population estimation methods using capture-recapture techniques
  • Learn about statistical sampling methods in ecology
  • Explore the implications of tagging on animal behavior and population dynamics
  • Study the use of software tools for statistical analysis in ecological research
USEFUL FOR

Ecologists, wildlife biologists, statisticians, and anyone involved in wildlife management and population studies will benefit from this discussion.

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In a park , 200 foxes are tagged. In 100 sighting, 14 were tagged. Estimate the size of the fox population ?

This is how approached .

200 tagged : Population 14 tagged : 100
(200x100/14)= Estimated Population = 1,429

I wonder if this is right !
 
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I get the same number. I would use the reasoning that approximately 14% of the total population was tagged, and 200 is 14% of about 1429 (rounded to the nearest integer). :)
 
Thx
 

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