Probability of getting 3 heads or more in 20 coin flips

  • #1
1
0

Main Question or Discussion Point

hey folks,

My question is how to find probability of getting 3 CONSECUTIVE heads or more in 20 coin flips, what are the odds

I have an approach which I need to verify and please clarify in case of missing points.

No. of possible outcomes = 2 ^ 20

first I assume that first 3 outcomes are heads , all other 17 combinations of coins are to be counted, so there are 2 ^ 17 .
then I assume first outcome is tail, and 2nd,3rd,4th outcomes are heads, all other 16 combinations of coins are to be counted , so there are 2^16
then I assume first outcome AND second outcome both are tail, and 3rd,4th,5th outcomes are heads , other 15 combinations are 2^15
then I assume first outcome , second outcome AND third outcome all are tail, and 4th,5th,6th outcomes are heads , other 14 combinations are 2^14

and so on until
1st to 17th outcome are all tail , and 18th,19th,20th are heads, possibility is 2^0 which is 1

so the answer is 2^17 + 2^16 + 2^15 + ...... 2^0 which gives 262143 , with a probability of 0.25

are there any misleading overlapping cases?

and please check R software or matlab or others to get the exact answer
 
Last edited:

Answers and Replies

  • #2
EnumaElish
Science Advisor
Homework Helper
2,304
124
hey folks, ...
and please check R software or matlab or others to get the exact answer
You can go to wolframalpha.com and check it yourself.
 
  • #3
mathman
Science Advisor
7,768
417
You omitted all cases where early flips were heads, but not 3 consecutive.
 

Related Threads on Probability of getting 3 heads or more in 20 coin flips

  • Last Post
Replies
9
Views
3K
  • Last Post
Replies
2
Views
3K
Replies
14
Views
6K
Replies
70
Views
54K
Replies
4
Views
1K
Replies
2
Views
1K
Replies
6
Views
3K
Replies
13
Views
3K
Replies
2
Views
1K
Top