- #1

lopko

- 3

- 0

## Homework Statement

Lets say you have a mini bag of 20 M&Ms and find the first 19 are all blue. What is the probability that the 20th is also blue?

According to the company the distribution is 24% blue, 14% brown, 16% green, 20% orange, 13% red, 14% yellow

Thanks!

## Homework Equations

I don't think this is relevant

## The Attempt at a Solution

Would it just be the initial probability of getting a blue M&M (.24 according to the company), or does the fact that ALL of them in the bag are blue have an effect on the probability? I am assuming that the picking of each M&M are independent events, thus making the probability the same... but I am not sure if that's correct