Probability of Hitting Center of a Square Target - POTW #318 (Jun 13, 2018)

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SUMMARY

The probability of hitting a point closer to the center of a square target than to any edge is calculated using geometric probability principles. The solution involves determining the area of the central square region that is closer to the center than to the edges. The final probability is expressed as a fraction of the total area of the square. Members MarkFL, castor28, and kaliprasad provided correct solutions to this problem.

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A dart, thrown at random, hits a square target. Assuming that any two parts of the target of equal area are equally likely to be hit, find the probability that the point hit is nearer to the center than to any edge.

Express your answer in the exact form.

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Congratulations to the following members for their correct solution:):

1. MarkFL
2. castor28
3, kaliprasad

Solution from MarkFL:
WLOG, I used a square 4 units in area centered at the origin. I found the area bounded by the positive $y$-axis, the line $$ y=x$$ and the parabola having its focus at the origin and its directrix at $$ y=1$$. We find this parabola from:

$$ x^2+y^2=(y-1)^2$$

$$ x^2+y^2=y^2-2y+1$$

$$ y=\frac{1-x^2}{2}$$

We find the first quadrant intersection of the line and the parabola from:

$$ x=\frac{1-x^2}{2}$$

$$ x^2+2x-1=0$$

$$ x=\sqrt{2}-1$$

Thus, the area $A$ of the region in question is:

$$ A=8\int_0^{\sqrt{2}-1}\frac{1-x^2}{2}-x\,dx$$

$$ A=4\int_0^{\sqrt{2}-1}1-2x-x^2\,dx$$

Dividing by the area of the square, we find the portion is:

$$ A=\int_0^{\sqrt{2}-1}1-2x-x^2\,dx=\frac{1}{3}(4\sqrt{2}-5)$$

And so, the probability in question is given by:

$$P(X)=\frac{1}{3}(4\sqrt{2}-5)\approx0.2189514164974602$$
 

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