Probability of Point Within Radius $x$ from Origin

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the probability that a point, uniformly distributed within a disk of radius 1, is within a distance $x$ from the origin, where $0 \leq x \leq 1$. The density function is defined as \(f(x,y) = C\) for \(0 \leq x^2 + y^2 \leq 1\). Participants Ackbach, alphabeta89, and Bacterius provided correct solutions, while Sudharaka received an honorable mention for an incorrect probability calculation. The integral condition for the density function is established as \(\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x,y)\,dy\,dx = 1\).

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of uniform distribution in probability theory
  • Knowledge of density functions and their properties
  • Familiarity with integration in two dimensions
  • Basic concepts of geometric probability
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  • Study the derivation of probabilities in circular regions using polar coordinates
  • Explore the properties of density functions and normalization conditions
  • Learn about geometric probability and its applications in real-world scenarios
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Thanks again to those who participated in last week's POTW! Here's this week's problem!

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Problem: A point is uniformly distributed within the disk of radius 1. That is, its density is\[f(x,y)=C,\qquad 0\leq x^2+y^2\leq 1\]
Find the probability that its distance from the origin is less than $x$, $0\leq x\leq 1$.

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Note​: $f(x,y)$ is a density function if $\displaystyle\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f(x,y)\,dy\,dx = 1$.

 
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This week's problem was correctly answered by Ackbach, alphabeta89, and Bacterius; Sudharaka gets honorable mention since he computed the wrong probability... :-/

Here's Ackbach's solution:

First we normalize the function $f(x,y)$ by discovering $C$. We need that
$$\int_{\mathbb{R}} \int_{\mathbb{R}} f(x,y) \, dx \, dy=1,$$
or, switching to polar coordinates, that
$$\int_{0}^{2 \pi} \int_{0}^{1}C \, r \, dr \, d\theta=1.$$
The integral on the LHS is essentially the area, so we have that
$$C= \frac{1}{ \pi r^{2}}= \frac{1}{ \pi},$$
and therefore that
$$f(x,y)= \frac{1}{ \pi}.$$
Next, to find the probability that the point is within a distance of $x$ to the origin, we must
compute the probability
$$P(r<x)= \frac{( \pi x^{2})/ \pi}{( \pi)/ \pi}= x^{2}.$$

Note that I could probably have solved this problem without normalizing, but I felt like doing it.

And here's Bacterius' solution:

Let $\text{X} : (\theta_\text{X}, r_\text{X})$ be a uniformly selected point on the unit circle, in polar coordinates. What is the probability that $r_\text{X} < x$ for some $0 \leq x \leq 1$?

Let us divide the unit circle in concentric rings with inner radius $r$ and thickness $\text{d} r$. What is the total area of all rings up to some radius $x$? We have:

$$A_x = \int_0^x 2 \pi r ~ \text{d} r = \pi x^2$$
This area $A_x$ is the area of the circle of radius $x$ concentric to the unit circle, enclosing all points which have distance less than $x$ to the origin. And the total area of the unit circle is equal to $A = \pi$, so the probability of $\text{X}$ falling inside the area $A_x$ is equal to (this is really a cumulative distribution function):

$$P(r_\text{X} < x) = \frac{A_x}{A} = \frac{\pi x^2}{\pi} = x^2$$
We conclude, that a uniformly selected point on the unit circle has probability $x^2$ to have distance less than $x$ to the origin.​
 

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