Prove that the tail of this distribution goes to zero

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on proving that the tail of a distribution approaches zero, specifically demonstrating that lim_{s to infinity} P(|X| >= s) = 0. The proof utilizes Heine's definition of limits and involves a monotonically increasing sequence (s_n)_{n=1}^infty. Key points include the continuity of probability and the relationship between intersections of events and their probabilities. The discussion also addresses questions regarding the choice of sequence and the application of the law of continuity of probability.

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  • Knowledge of Heine's definition of limits
  • Concept of continuity of probability in probability spaces
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CGandC
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Theorem: Let ## X ## be a random variable. Then ## \lim_{s \to \infty} P( |X| \geq s ) =0 ##

Proof from teacher assistant's notes: We'll show first that ## \lim_{s \to \infty} P( X \geq s ) =0 ## and ## \lim_{s \to \infty} P( X \leq -s ) =0 ##:

Let ## (s_n)_{n=1}^\infty ## be a monotonically increasing sequence with ## \lim_{ n \to \infty } s_n = \infty ##. The sequences ## \{ X \geq s_n \}_{n=1}^\infty ## and ## \{ X \leq -s_n \}_{n=1}^\infty ## are decreasing sequences with zero intersection:

##\bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \leq-s_n\right\} = \bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \geq s_n\right\} = \emptyset ##,
hence from continuity of probability:

##
\begin{aligned}
&0=\mathbb{P}(\emptyset)=\mathbb{P}\left(\bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \geq s_n\right\}\right)=\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{P}\left(X \geq s_n\right) \\
&0=\mathbb{P}(\emptyset)=\mathbb{P}\left(\bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \leq-s_n\right\}\right)=\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{P}\left(X \leq-s_n\right)
\end{aligned}
##

Hence we'll deduce:

##
\lim _{s \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{P}(|X| \geq s)=\lim _{s \rightarrow \infty}(\mathbb{P}(X \geq s)+\mathbb{P}(X \leq-s))=0
##
and we're finished.Questions:
1. I understand that the proof above is according to Heine's definition of limit, but if so I don't understand why we took ## (s_n)_{n=1}^\infty ## to be a monotonically increasing sequence and not an arbitrary sequence? ( we'd also like to prove for sequences that do go to infinity but are not necessarily monotonically increasing ).
2. Why does the equation ## \mathbb{P}\left(\bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \geq s_n\right\}\right)=\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{P}\left(X \geq s_n\right) ## hold? how did we go from the left side to the right side?Thanks in advance for any help!
 
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CGandC said:
Questions:
1. I understand that the proof above is according to Heine's definition of limit, but if so I don't understand why we took ## (s_n)_{n=1}^\infty ## to be a monotonically increasing sequence and not an arbitrary sequence? ( we'd also like to prove for sequences that do go to infinity but are not necessarily monotonicallyincreasing ).

2. Why does the equation ## \mathbb{P}\left(\bigcap_{n=1}^{\infty}\left\{X \geq s_n\right\}\right)=\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \mathbb{P}\left(X \geq s_n\right) ## hold? how did we go from the left side to the right side?

What happens if s_n is not necessarily strictly increasing? Since the minimum of an intersection is the maximum of the minima, we have <br /> \bigcap_{n=1}^N \{X \geq s_n\} = \{X \geq \max_{1 \leq n \leq N} s_n\}. Define <br /> M_N = \max_{1 \leq n \leq N} s_n. Then M_n is an increasing sequence with M_n \to \infty. Then <br /> \begin{split}<br /> \mathbb{P}\left( \bigcap_{n=1}^\infty \{X &gt; s_n\}\right) &amp;= \lim_{N \to \infty} \mathbb{P}\left(\bigcap_{n=1}^N \{X \geq s_n\}\right) \\<br /> &amp;= \lim_{N \to \infty} \mathbb{P}(\{X \geq M_N\}).\end{split}
 
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Thanks a lot! everything's crystal clear now!

I also found an answer to my second question which stems from the law of continuity of probability which says the following ( in case anyone's interested ):
Let there be a monotonically decreasing sequence of events ## A_1 \supseteq A_2 \supseteq ... ## in probability space ## ( \Omega , \mathbb{P} ) ##. Then: ## \mathbb{P}\left( \bigcap_{n=1}^\infty A_n \right) = \lim_{n \to \infty } \mathbb{P}( A_n) ##
 

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