Proving Finite Supremum of Independent Random Variables

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the conditions under which the supremum of a sequence of independent random variables is finite almost surely. Participants explore the relationship between this condition and the convergence of a series involving probabilities associated with these random variables.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant questions how to demonstrate that $\sup_n X_n < \infty$ almost surely is equivalent to the convergence of $\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \mathbb{P}(X_n>A)$ for some positive finite A.
  • Another participant suggests that if $A > B$, then the infinite sum vanishes, implying a need for clarification on the hypothesis.
  • There is a discussion about the nature of $\sup_n X_n$, with some participants emphasizing that it is a function rather than a fixed number.
  • Hints are provided to use the Borel-Cantelli lemma to approach the problem.
  • One participant expresses confusion regarding the application of the Borel-Cantelli lemma and requests further clarification on its use in this context.
  • Several participants engage in a debate about the clarity of the original question, with differing opinions on whether it was expressed correctly.
  • There are personal exchanges that reflect disagreement on the interpretation of the question and the use of terminology.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the clarity of the original question or the correctness of the terminology used. Multiple competing views remain regarding the interpretation of the supremum and the application of the Borel-Cantelli lemma.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved issues regarding the assumptions made about the random variables and the probabilities, as well as the definitions used in the discussion.

bennyzadir
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Let be $X_1, X_2, \dots $ independent random variables. My question is how can we show that $sup_n X_n <\infty$ almost surely $ \iff \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \mathbb{P}(X_n>A)<\infty $ for some positive finite A number.

Thank you very much for your help in advance!
 
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Of course, setting $\displaystyle \text{sup}_{n} X_{n}=B$, for A>B the 'infinite sum' vanishes. Do You intend to get Your question with the hypothesis A<B?...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 
chisigma said:
Of course, setting $\displaystyle \text{sup}_{n} X_{n}=B$, for A>B the 'infinite sum' vanishes.
\(\sup_n X_n\) is not a number but a function from the sample space to reals (plus infinity)...
 
Hint: use Borel-Cantelli lemma.
 
Evgeny.Makarov said:
\(\sup_n X_n\) is not a number but a function from the sample space to reals (plus infinity)...

I'm afraid that the question has been wrongly expressed and in particular there is confusion between the random variables $X_{n}$ and the probabilities $P_{n}= P\{X_{n}>A\}$...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 
I don't see any confusion in the question. The sequence $X$ is a function of two arguments, i.e., $X:\mathbb{N}\times\Omega\to\mathbb{R}$. We denote $X(n,\cdot)$ by $X_n$. Then $\sup_nX_n$ is a function $\Omega\ni\omega\mapsto\sup_nX_n(\omega)$. In particular, $X_n$ is not a number; otherwise, $\sup_nX_n$ would also be a number and $\sup_nX_n<\infty$ would be either true or false. As it is, $\sup_nX_n<\infty$ has its own Boolean value for each $\omega\in\Omega$. It is an event (i.e., a subset iof $\Omega$) that holds almost surely, i.e., the probability measure of this event is 1.
 
girdav said:
Hint: use Borel-Cantelli lemma.

Thank you for everybody who replied to my post, special thanks to girdav for the hint and to Evgeny.Makarov for 'protecting' my question.
Anyway, I am afriad I still can't solve the problem. To tell the truth I don't really see how the lemma could be used in this case. Which form of the lemma do you mean and how does it give the result?

I would be really grateful if you could help me!
 
I meant this result: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borel–Cantelli_lemma .

If we assume that for some $A>0$ the series $\sum_{n\geq 0}P(X_n\geq A)$ is convergent then by Borel-Cantelli lemma $P(\limsup_n X_n\geq A)=0$ . Now assume that for all $A$ we have that $\sum_{n\geq 0}P(X_n\geq A)$ is divergent, and apply a converse of Borel-Cantelli lemma, which works for independent random variables.
 
Last edited:
girdav said:
I meant this result:.

If we assume that for some $A>0$ the series $\sum_{n\geq 0}P(X_n\geq A)$ is convergent then by Borel-Cantelli lemma $P(\limsup_n X_n\geq A)=0$ . Now assume that for all $A$ we have that $\sum_{n\geq 0}P(X_n\geq A)$ is divergent, and apply a converse of Borel-Cantelli lemma, which works for independent random variables.

Thank you so much for your quick and clear answer. I really appreciate it!
 
  • #10
chisigma said:
I'm afraid that the question has been wrongly expressed and in particular there is confusion between the random variables $X_{n}$ and the probabilities $P_{n}= P\{X_{n}>A\}$...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
I'm afraid your wording is as wrong as ever. You're always putting some weird notations and it's quite obvious that you're not used to using common things in probability. Hence the probability that you understood wrongly is superior to the probability of the question being wrongly worded.
 
  • #11
Moo said:
I'm afraid your wording is as wrong as ever...

I'm afraid... following Dante Alighieri's sentence reported in the signature... that I'm no time to waste with monkeys ...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 
  • #12
chisigma said:
I'm afraid... following Dante Alighieri's sentence reported in the signature... that I'm no time to waste with monkeys ...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
A monkey that can probably speak a better English than yours, but that wouldn't bother looking for the translation of an Italian sentence no one cares about. And I did mean wording, not working.

Sincerely yours,

Monkey cow.
 
  • #13
It appears that the original question has been answered so all other comments can be taken care of through private messages. If anyone ever has a complaint or comment they are free to send me a message or handle it personally with other users.
 

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