Scientific Consensus: Is It Safe to Rely On?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the concept of scientific consensus and its reliability for decision-making. Participants explore whether it is safe to rely on scientific consensus given that it can change over time and may not always reflect the best available evidence.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants question the stability of scientific consensus, noting that it can change and may not always be reliable for decision-making.
  • Others argue that decisions must be made based on the best conclusions drawn from available evidence, implying a necessity to rely on consensus despite its potential flaws.
  • One participant suggests that while scientific consensus may reflect the best evidence at a given time, there are instances where better evidence exists but has not been accepted, raising concerns about the validity of consensus science.
  • Another point raised is that the validity of consensus science hinges on the premise that it is based on the best-supported evidence, which may not always hold true.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the reliability of scientific consensus, with no clear consensus on whether it is safe to rely on it for decision-making.

Contextual Notes

Participants acknowledge the potential for scientific consensus to change and the implications this has for its reliability, but do not resolve the underlying assumptions about the nature of evidence and consensus.

wolram
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Scientific consensus as described by Wiki,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_consensus

Is not some thing that is set in stone, as at the bottom of the wiki article shows SC can change, so is it safe to make decisions on the findings of SC?
 
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We have to make decisions based on something, so if not on the best conclusions we can draw from the evidence available at the time, then what?
 
matthyaouw said:
We have to make decisions based on something, so if not on the best conclusions we can draw from the evidence available at the time, then what?

Is it true that the evidence is the best available at the time, the consensus was the best at the time, but where SC changed there was better evidence, it had just not been accepted.
 
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Consensus science is only valid if the premise that whatever is scientific consensus is that which is best supported by the evidence is true (which is often a reasonable premise, but not necessarily always true).
 

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